Open Climate Project

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= "A platform of platforms and an open system for global climate accounting and planetary accountability".

URL = https://www.openclimate.earth

Description

Martin Wainstein:

"The Open Climate Project is an open source initiative exploring the application of distributed ledger technology (DLT) and other emerging technologies, such as IoT (Internet of Things), big data and machine learning, to the challenge of helping the world keep a transparent climate accounting system towards the climate targets set in the 2015 Paris Agreement — i.e. maintaining anthropogenic warming below 1.5oC. Global climate accounting, the process of recording climate actors and their actions in respect to the shared account of the planet’s climate state, occurs in diverse set of registry platforms that are individually centralized and collectively dispersed and unlinked." ([1])

Characteristics

Martin Wainstein:

The Planet’s accounting track

"This track must consider Earth as the physical planet devoid of human created political divisions, and purely based in physical science. In other words, this can be seen as decentralized Earth ledger that encompasses the main aspects covered by working group 1 of the intergovernmental panel on climate change (IPCC).


The proposed two fundamental components to develop and track are:

1) A consensus mechanism to determine the remaining carbon budget and its unavoidable uncertainty range (see box 1 for more info outlining the importance of tracking the carbon budget). Whilst this number may need to be constantly updated, it can be a fixed value determined by a median range or democratically agreed by, for example, an international scientific committee.

2) The process to track the aggregate rate in which this budget is consumed, in real-time or another practical time period. Whilst the aggregate number is the key variable value to monitor, efforts should be placed to track emissions provenance (i.e. their root sources and path).


The World’s accounting track

This accounting track is the one traditionally associated with climate accounting, and described above in section 1, since it must consider the self-defined boundaries in the human civilization: countries, provinces, cities, organizations, individuals, etc. As such, it involves a more intricate political and subjective process.


The two core accounting components distributed ledger should cover are:

1) Open climate pledges taken by all the relevant actors. This includes nationally determined contributions (NDCs) in the case of countries, and general climate pledges stated by any NSA, presented as fixed numbers that states an intended positive climate action (eg. emission reduction) in the future relative to a base year.

2) The process to affordably track and certify what indeed was and was not emitted by the respective actor. This, in combination with the other components, is also a strong basis to roll-out global mechanisms to incentivize behavior change (eg. through rewards and penalties)."


Discussion

Martin Wainstein:

"Planet Earth’s atmosphere can hold a limited amount of carbon dioxide equivalent (CO2e) emissions before average global temperatures unleash the most costly and damaging impacts of climate change. The Paris Agreement set a global goal of holding global warming well below 2oC and aiming for a 1.5oC limit of warming, relative to preindustrial levels.

The limited quantity of emissions relative to this 1.5/2oC threshold has been termed our global ‘carbon budget’. Scientifically, the carbon budget is not a fixed number and never will be — it has an uncertainty range and the data and knowledge used to calculate it is updated every year (Rogelj et al., 2019). However, scientists estimate around 600 GtCO2e remains in the budget, while global annual emissions are around 40 GtCO2e. Thus, the key take-away when looking at the carbon budget science is that if present emission pathways are left unchecked, the budget could be consumed in as little as 15 years. After this, we’ve crossed an irreversible threshold in planetary resilience."


Consolidating a Climate Accounting System

Martin Wainstein:

"Consolidating a climate accounting system that can combine state and NSA climate actions is essential to the success of the Paris Agreement and the prevention of dangerous global warming. In fact, NSAs and their progress should inform national target-setting, tracking and policy-making that in turn should encourage even more non-state action commitments. Quantitatively assessing and tracking climate pledges and certifying the efforts to achieve them, however, are still fraught with difficulties. Existing measurement, reporting and verification (MRV) systems to track climate action —both from state and NSAs— are labor-intensive and costly, frequently requiring third-party consultants, which discourages resource-constrained actors from participating and recording actions in transnational climate action networks or measuring their climate change impacts at all.

If we were to consolidate and maintain a single recordkeeping ledger with global consensus (i.e. where all parties agree) the task would be far from a simple under a trustless and competitive world. Decades of slow climate negotiations among countries attest to the intricacy of this challenge. The rise and maturity of blockchain and its cryptographic science, paired with emerging digital technologies such as internetconnected sensors, big data and artificial intelligence can provide robust opportunities for existing and new climate platforms to streamline and incentivize data collection, climate action certification (i.e. MRV), accounting and trade. These tools could fill a critical gap in the understanding of how bottom-up non-state climate actions are implemented, what they achieve, and how to build a sustainable system that lowers measurement and reporting burdens to be more inclusive globally.

Whilst the initial application of blockchain focused on digital currencies (e.g. Bitcoin), other non-financial applications quickly followed. In fact, its core promise of decentralized consensus eventually caught the attention of the climate world. Eventually, the UNFCCC declared its support for research on blockchain and distributed ledger technologies (UNFCCC, 2018). Following this announcement, initiatives like the Climate Chain Coalition have successfully created a growing network of entrepreneurial actors that are actively exploring the blockchain and climate intersection, each with their own set of technological value propositions.

To date, however, there hasn’t been a compelling direct application of the technology, at least not in terms of a global internationally recognized framework for carbon and climate accounting that propose to leverage the power of trustless decentralization and automation to integrate legacy accounting practices with emerging technological ones. There has also been little discussion about how to address questions around the governance of these tools, data sharing between existing climate platforms, development of globally accepted accounting protocols for NSAs, and the dichotomy of maintaining actor data privacy alongside climate transparency." ([2])


More information

  • The Open Climate platform, portal and integration protocols are in an alpha prototype phase. Platform can be accessed at www.openclimate.earth and source code can be found at www.github.com/YaleOpenLab/openclimate.