Connections between Energy Use and Societal Leadership Transitions

* Chapter: Exploration of Connections between Energy Use and Leadership Transitions. By David J. Lepoire. Chapter 10 of the book: Systemic Transitions

URL = https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1057/9780230618381_10

Abstract

1.

""To explore the suggestion that energy flow through the system is the driving parameter of this complex system, this paper analyzes estimates of historical energy use over the recent (500-year period) transitions in leadership. The relationship between the progression of energy use and complexity of civilization is then further explored by investigating associated technologies and social organization. Possible implications of the continuation of these trends in leadership, technology, and energy transitions are then discussed.""

2.

"To gain a perspective on potential leadership transitions, past and current trends can be explored for potential patterns. There are many possible approaches to take in exploring patterns, such as the scope of the time period and the level of detail of possible explanatory factors. A standard approach is to start with the formation of modern state systems during the European age of exploration and scientific discovery in the sixteenth century (Kennedy 1987; Modelski 1987). However, hypotheses to study this leadership transition period might arise from considering extensions of patterns observed over earlier and much longer durations. For example, the rate of population growth over human history indicates a strong relationship to technological factors (Kremer 1993)."