Four Energy Descent Scenarios

Description

Don Tipping:

"Australian Permaculture co-originator, homesteader, teacher and writer, David Holmgren wrote an excellent road map in 2007 called Future Scenarios and then followed it up with an update in 2013 called, Crash on Demand that explored what routes society was likely to follow considering the data.[16] His analysis basically explores 4 possible energy descent scenarios that could emerge over the coming 10 to 40 years locally and/or globally.

• Brown Tech — keep using fossil fuels with little to no regard to climate change (our present trajectory)

• Green Tech — transition swiftly to renewable sources of energy like solar, wind and biomass. Incentivize the transition with carbon credits and tax breaks. Epitomized by some western European nations and the US state of California. A bit of a techno-utopia, especially when you consider that strides in reducing greenhouse gases typically spur an increase in consumption as people feel like they have earned it.

• Transition Town Movement — local, county scale initiatives at local resilience through community actions. Willits, California or Ashland, Oregon are good examples.

• Lifeboats — islands of coherence in a sea of insanity. This includes the permaculture, homesteader, and prepper movements. Mostly at the individual, family-scale with a few notable small communities on a single piece of land or neighborhood. Last one standing."

(https://medium.com/@dontipping/the-new-map-emergent-strategies-13ee429bd64)