Immanuel Wallerstein's World-Systems Theory: Difference between revisions

From P2P Foundation
Jump to navigation Jump to search
unknown (talk)
unknown (talk)
No edit summary
Line 1: Line 1:
=Discussion=
=Discussion=


Line 7: Line 5:
(to be edited)
(to be edited)


Important  features  of the modern  capitalist  world-economy  in Wallerstein's theory, requiring  and receiving  closer  scrutiny,  arc that  it  is: regionally polarized, cyclical, occasionally hegemonic,  regressive,  doomed  and surpassable. To these features  we  shall turn next. Comment. Wallerstein  believes neither  in the revolutionary  nor  in the progressive  image of capitalism;  but  he misses  the strongest  argument  against both.  Whether  we use an accumulative  or ( as I  prefer)  a market-based propertarian definition of capitalism,  it  long predates  the modern  era,  seems to have time-boundaries  close or identical  to those of the phenomenon  of civilization  itself, and  therefore  cannot be  either as (recently) revolutionary  or as progressive as is sometimes  believed. The idea  of  "capitalism" as a reformist  strategy  for the survival of a landed  aristocracy  is remarkably  stimulating.  Quigley's  idea  of the  reform  of an institution of expansion  seems to provide  the general  theoretical  category  of which  this  is a possible  instance. (Quigley himself contends  that capitalism,  by which  he  means "an economic  system motivated by the  pursuit of profits  within  a  price structure,"  could  be  seen  either as a circumvention of feudalism or as a reform  of the medieval commercial system: 1961, 233). Pre-modern  and post-modern capitalist innovations  may also need reinterpreting as reformist  strategics,  or as circumventions,  e.g. of a socialist  state, as in the USSR  and China today. The economic  continuity  which Wallerstein  finds  between "feudal" and  "modern" Europe is the easier to accept since  it is paralleled  by a political continuity:  they  arc periods  in the history of  a region of the same states  system  (vide Wilkinson,  1988, 55-57).


Important  features  of the modern  capitalist  world-economy  in Wallerstein's theory, requiring  and receiving  closer  scrutiny,  arc that  it  is: regionally polarized, cyclical, occasionally hegemonic,  regressive,  doomed  and surpassable. To these features  we  shall turn next. Comment. Wallerstein  believes neither  in the revolutionary  nor  in the progressive  image of capitalism;  but  he misses  the strongest  argument  against both.  Whether  we use an accumulative  or ( a<; I  prefer)  a market-based propertarian definition of capitalism,  it  long predates  the modern  era,  seems to have time-boundaries  close or identical  to those of the phenomenon  of civilization  itself, and  therefore  cannot be  either a<; (recently) revolutionary  or a<; progressive a<; is sometimes  believed. The idea  of  "capitalism" a<; a reformist  strategy  for the survival of a landed  aristocracy  is remarkably  stimulating.  Quigley's  idea  of the  reform  of an institution of expansion  seems to provide  the general  theoretical  category  of which  this  is a possible  instance. (Quigley hi1rnclf contends  that capitalism,  by which  he  means "an economic  system motivated by the  pursuit of profits  within  a  price structure,"  could  be  seen [Page 46] Journal  of World-Systems Research either a<; a circumvention of feudalism or a<; a reform  of the medieval commercial system: 1961, 233). Pre-modern  and post-modern capitalist innovations  may also need reinterpreting a<; reformist  strategics,  or a<; circumventions,  e.g. of a socialist  state, a<; in the USSR  and China today. The economic  continuity  which Wallerstein  finds  between "feudal" and  "modern" Europe is the easier to accept since  it is paralleled  by a political continuity:  they  arc periods  in the history of  a region of the same states  system  (vidc Wilkinson,  1988, 55-57).
Wallerstein seems correct in asserting, and Quigley  wrong  in denying,  that  there  today exists  a single world-system' civilization, product of the global spread of what was in the fifteenth  century  only one  of many  such. It is not,  however possible  to  accept that feudal Europe, or modern  Europe  (with  or without Iberian America) ever constituted a world system with  a largely  self-contained life and endogenous dynamics.  Indeed,  it seems strange  even in sheerly economic  terms to find  Spanish  America  (an object of predation and redistribution rather than  commerce) has nonetheless gotten into the world-system,  while Russia, Turkey and Persia arc external to it. I prefer the judgement that, like  Quigley's Orthodox  and Islamic civilizations,  Wallerstein's Russian, Turkish  and Persian world-empires,  were not "external arenas" but part and parcel of a single  system, a single process and struggle, that  of Central  Civilization,  which a.., a whole  resembled  a Wallersteinian "world  economy" more  than  did  any of  its  parts,  which  were  not "worlds" to  themselves  politically,  nor,  in consequence,  economically. It is not  clear  by what  definition  equality  is incompatible  with  a capitalist  world-economy;  definitional  incompatibilities  are  in  any case innocuous,  since  it is empirical incompatibilities  that  have  practical  significance.  In  this case the  underlying  question  is, if every  human  society  whatsoever  displays  inequality  ( e.g. by age,  gender, lineage)  and new  forms  of inequality  appear  with every enlargement  or  complication of human society,  whether  capitalism ha.., any  relationship  to  equality except that of being one of the  forms  in which  it  fails to  occur.  I believe  that  researchers  who  look  for pre-modern classic, nations,  households  and states will  find  them  without  much  difficulty.  
Wallerstein seems correct in asserting, and Quigley  wrong  in denying,  that  there  today exists  a single world-system' civilization, product of the global spread of what wa<; in the fifteenth  century  only one  of many  such. It is not,  however possible  to  accept that feudal Europe, or modern  Europe  (with  or without Iberian America) ever constituted a world system with  a largely  self-contained life and endogenous dynamics.  Indeed,  it seems strange  even in sheerly economic  terms to find  Spanish  America  (an object of predation and redistribution rather than  commerce) ha<; nonetheless gotten into the world-system,  while Russia, Turkey and Persia arc external to it. I prefer the judgement that, like  Quigley's Orthodox  and Islamic civilizations,  Wallerstein's Russian, Turkish  and Persian world-empires,  were not "external arena<;" but part and parcel of a single  system, a single process and struggle, th at
of Central  Civilization,  which a.., a whole  resembled  a Wallersteinian "world  economy" more  than  did  any of  its  parts,  which  were  not "worlds" to  themselves  politically,  nor,  in consequence,  economically. It is not  clear  by what  definition  equality  is incompatible  with  a capitalist  world-economy;  definitional  incompatibilities  are  in  any case innocuous,  since  it is empirical incompatibilities  that  have  practical  significance.  In  this case the  underlying  question  is, if every  human  society  whatsoever  displays  inequality  ( e.g. by age,  gender, lineage)  and new  forms  of inequality  appear  with every enlargement  or  complication of human society,  whether  capitalism ha.., any  relationship  to  equality except that of being one of the  forms  in which  it  fails to  occur. [Page 47] Journal  of  World-Systems Research I believe  that  researchers  who  look  for pre-modern classic, nations,  households  and states will  find  them  without  much  difficulty.  




Core and periphery.  
'''Core and periphery.'''


A world economy has a geographical as well as a functional  division of labor. "World-economics ... are divided  into  core  states  and peripheral area..,." Core states  arc  advantaged, have  strong  state  machineries  and national  cultures;  peripheral area.., have weak  or nonexistent  indigenous  states  (TMWSl  349).  Core  and periphery are features  of capitalism: "world-empires  had joined their 'edges'  to the  center by the collection  of tribute,  otherwise leaving  relatively  intact  the production  systems over  which  they had 'suzerainty,' whereas the  capitalist world-economy  'peripheralized' area.., economically by incorporating  them  into  the  division  of  labor."  (Hopkins,  Wallerstein et  al., 1982b, 55) a. Causation. Why  is there regional  polarization?  Wallerstein's  various  answers  include  definitional or functional requisiteness,  geoeconomic regionalism  (core-likeness) and force (unequal exchange).  
A world economy has a geographical as well as a functional  division of labor. "World-economics ... are divided  into  core  states  and peripheral area..,." Core states  arc  advantaged, have  strong  state  machineries  and national  cultures;  peripheral area.., have weak  or nonexistent  indigenous  states  (TMWSl  349).  Core  and periphery are features  of capitalism: "world-empires  had joined their 'edges'  to the  center by the collection  of tribute,  otherwise leaving  relatively  intact  the production  systems over  which  they had 'suzerainty,' whereas the  capitalist world-economy  'peripheralized' area.., economically by incorporating  them  into  the  division  of  labor."  (Hopkins,  Wallerstein et  al., 1982b, 55) a. Causation. Why  is there regional  polarization?  Wallerstein's  various  answers  include  definitional or functional requisiteness,  geoeconomic regionalism  (core-likeness) and force (unequal exchange).  


1. Requisiteness.  
 
'''1. Requisiteness.'''


"[W]ithin  a capitalist world-economy, all  states  cannot 'develop' simultaneously  by definition,  since the system functions by virtue  of having  unequal core and peripheral  regions." (W 1975, 23)  
"[W]ithin  a capitalist world-economy, all  states  cannot 'develop' simultaneously  by definition,  since the system functions by virtue  of having  unequal core and peripheral  regions." (W 1975, 23)  


2. Geography.  
 
'''2. Geography.'''


Production processes are  linked  in complex  commodity chains (HC  16). These chains have a directionality, raw-to-finished.  Commodity  chains have  been geographically  convergent: "they  have  tended to move  from the  peripheries of the capitalist  world-economy to-the centres  or cores"  (HC  30).  The  more easily monopolized processes arc concentrated in core area..,, the  less skilled, more extensive manpower  
Production processes are  linked  in complex  commodity chains (HC  16). These chains have a directionality, raw-to-finished.  Commodity  chains have  been geographically  convergent: "they  have  tended to move  from the  peripheries of the capitalist  world-economy to-the centres  or cores"  (HC  30).  The  more easily monopolized processes arc concentrated in core area..,, the  less skilled, more extensive manpower  
processes  in "peripheral" area.., (PWE 4-5). What  "makes a production  process  core-like or periphery-like  is the degree to which  it incorporates  labor-value,  is mechanized, and is highly  profitable"  (PWE  16). There  arc core states and periphery  states because there "tend to be geographical localizations of productive activities  such that core -like production  activities  and periphery-like production  activities  tend  each to be  spatially grouped  together"  (PWE  15).  
processes  in "peripheral" area.., (PWE 4-5). What  "makes a production  process  core-like or periphery-like  is the degree to which  it incorporates  labor-value,  is mechanized, and is highly  profitable"  (PWE  16). There  arc core states and periphery  states because there "tend to be geographical localizations of productive activities  such that core -like production  activities  and periphery-like production  activities  tend  each to be  spatially grouped  together"  (PWE  15).  


Unequal exchange.  
'''Unequal exchange.'''


"The exchange of product.., containing unequal amounts of social labor we may  call the core/periphery relationship"  (PWE  15). There is a parallel  political polarization between strong core states and weaker  peripheral  states, "the 'political' process of 'imperialism'  being  what  makes possible the  'economic' process  of 'unequal exchange'." (PWE  5) Unequal exchange  "means, ultimately,  the transfer of some of the surplus  of one area to a receiver  of surplus  in another" a.., "consequence  of the fact that more  labor power ha.., gone into  producing the value exchanged in on e area than  in the other." (WSA 94)  Unequal exchange exists when commodities moving one way incarnate more  "real input ( cost)" than equally-priced  commodities moving the other way (HC  31 ). Unequal exchange existed in pre-capitalism  when  one party to a market transaction used force to improve his price  (HC  30-31 ). Core zones arc those which  gain profit or surplus by unequal exchange  transactions  (HC  31-32). In capitalism, unequal exchange ha.., been concealed by the fact that commodity  chains  cross state  frontiers (HC 31 ). Strong  core state-machines keep peripheral state -structures weaker, their economics lower on the commodity  chain, their  wage-rates lower (HC  32).  This is done by force --wars and colonization--when  there  arc significant  political challenges  to existing  inequalities, otherwise  by market  supply-and-demand with an enormous apparatus  of force latent (HC 32-33). b. Change. Cores move over time  (PWE 103, TMWSl  350, CWE 33). New technologies render different commodities "high-profit, high-wage"  at different moments: "At first, wheat was exchanged  against textiles;  later textiles  against  steel; today steel  against  computers and wheat"  (PWE  103).  
"The exchange of product.., containing unequal amounts of social labor we may  call the core/periphery relationship"  (PWE  15). There is a parallel  political polarization between strong core states and weaker  peripheral  states, "the 'political' process of 'imperialism'  being  what  makes possible the  'economic' process  of 'unequal exchange'." (PWE  5) Unequal exchange  "means, ultimately,  the transfer of some of the surplus  of one area to a receiver  of surplus  in another" a.., "consequence  of the fact that more  labor power ha.., gone into  producing the value exchanged in on e area than  in the other." (WSA 94)  Unequal exchange exists when commodities moving one way incarnate more  "real input ( cost)" than equally-priced  commodities moving the other way (HC  31 ). Unequal exchange existed in pre-capitalism  when  one party to a market transaction used force to improve his price  (HC  30-31 ). Core zones arc those which  gain profit or surplus by unequal exchange  transactions  (HC  31-32). In capitalism, unequal exchange ha.., been concealed by the fact that commodity  chains  cross state  frontiers (HC 31 ). Strong  core state-machines keep peripheral state -structures weaker, their economics lower on the commodity  chain, their  wage-rates lower (HC  32).  This is done by force --wars and colonization--when  there  arc significant  political challenges  to existing  inequalities, otherwise  by market  supply-and-demand with an enormous apparatus  of force latent (HC 32-33). b. Change. Cores move over time  (PWE 103, TMWSl  350, CWE 33). New technologies render different commodities "high-profit, high-wage"  at different moments: "At first, wheat was exchanged  against textiles;  later textiles  against  steel; today steel  against  computers and wheat"  (PWE  103).  


c. Intermediate  zones.  
'''c. Intermediate  zones.'''




"There  always exist semiperipheral zones" (PWE 15). Semiperipheral states "function as loci  of  mixed kind.:; of  production  activities"  (PWE 15), have enterprises  engaged in both "corelike"  and  "peripheral" processes. In moments  of expansion  of the  world-economy, these  states "serve to some  extent a.:; economic  transmission belts  and political  agents"  of some  imperial  core  power. In periods  of stagnation  and  crisis,  core  powers' hold on these states  may be weakened; one  or two, which  arc strong enough, may play  among the rivals, erect new  quasi-monopolies, displace  some  falling core powers  and impose thc1rnclvcs a.:; new  core  powers  (PWE 7). Semiperipheral area-; "arc in  between  the  core  and the  periphery on  a series  of dimensions,  such a.:; the complexity  of economic  activities,  strength  of the  state machinery,  cultural  integrity, etc. Some  of these area-; had  been core area-; of earlier versions of a given  world-economy. Some  had been  peripheral area-; that were lat er promoted,  so to  speak, a.:; a result  of the changing  geopolitics  of  an expanding  world-economy." (TMWSl  349) "The semiperiphery is a necessary  structural clement  in a world-economy. These area-; play  a role  parallel to that played,  mutatis  mutandis,  by middle  trading groups in an empire .... These  middle area-; (like middle  groups in an empire)  partially deflect the political  pressures  which  groups  primarily located in peripheral area-; might oth erwise direct against  core  states  and  the  groups  which  operate  within and through  their state machineries."  (TMWSl 349-350) The middle  strata  in world-economics  consist  of the  semiperipheral states. (CWE  23) "The  three structural  positions  in  a world  economy--core,  periphery,  and semiperiphery -- had become stabilized by  about 1640."  (CWE 18)  
"There  always exist semiperipheral zones" (PWE 15). Semiperipheral states "function as loci  of  mixed kind.:; of  production  activities"  (PWE 15), have enterprises  engaged in both "core-like"  and  "peripheral" processes. In moments  of expansion  of the  world-economy, these  states "serve to some  extent a.:; economic  transmission belts  and political  agents"  of some  imperial  core  power. In periods  of stagnation  and  crisis,  core  powers' hold on these states  may be weakened; one  or two, which  arc strong enough, may play  among the rivals, erect new  quasi-monopolies, displace  some  falling core powers  and impose thc1rnclvcs a.:; new  core  powers  (PWE 7). Semiperipheral area-; "arc in  between  the  core  and the  periphery on  a series  of dimensions,  such a.:; the complexity  of economic  activities,  strength  of the  state machinery,  cultural  integrity, etc. Some  of these area-; had  been core area-; of earlier versions of a given  world-economy. Some  had been  peripheral area-; that were later promoted,  so to  speak, a.:; a result  of the changing  geopolitics  of  an expanding  world-economy." (TMWSl  349) "The semiperiphery is a necessary  structural clement  in a world-economy. These area-; play  a role  parallel to that played,  mutatis  mutandis,  by middle  trading groups in an empire .... These  middle area-; (like middle  groups in an empire)  partially deflect the political  pressures  which  groups  primarily located in peripheral area-; might otherwise direct against  core  states  and  the  groups  which  operate  within and through  their state machineries."  (TMWSl 349-350) The middle  strata  in world-economics  consist  of the  semiperipheral states. (CWE  23) "The  three structural  positions  in  a world  economy--core,  periphery,  and semiperiphery -- had become stabilized by  about 1640."  (CWE 18)  


Quigley  seems  right  to  treat  cores  and  peripheries as features of all civilizations,  not  simply  of  states-system  periods or capitalist instruments of expansion, and right again  to  treat  them in the  first instance as rooted in the fact that expansion necessarily means that  some regions will  enter  a civilization later than others. Wallerstein seems right to  assert  that  cores move in space over  time;  this can be seen  as a different way of perceiving,  what  Quigley is sharper  in  asserting,  that  at least some semiperipheral and  peripheral states have usually in the long run been advantaged  in imperialist war  and universal-empire-  building. An interesting question, not fully explored, is that  of the balance  of advantage in economic expansion. Quigley  secs it  as lying with  the latecomers (because of geographic circumvention,  developmental short -cuts, and  preferential diffusion of material culture);  Wallerstein as clearly sees it  lying with the core  states (greater  force, stronger state-machines, unequal exchange). The  differences  might be reconciled: since cores  do move,  but slowly, Quigley's cited forces may operate  at longer timescales  than  Wallerstein's, and in the opposite direction.  
Quigley  seems  right  to  treat  cores  and  peripheries as features of all civilizations,  not  simply  of  states-system  periods or capitalist instruments of expansion, and right again  to  treat  them in the  first instance as rooted in the fact that expansion necessarily means that  some regions will  enter  a civilization later than others. Wallerstein seems right to  assert  that  cores move in space over  time;  this can be seen  as a different way of perceiving,  what  Quigley is sharper  in  asserting,  that  at least some semiperipheral and  peripheral states have usually in the long run been advantaged  in imperialist war  and universal-empire-  building. An interesting question, not fully explored, is that  of the balance  of advantage in economic expansion. Quigley  secs it  as lying with  the latecomers (because of geographic circumvention,  developmental short -cuts, and  preferential diffusion of material culture);  Wallerstein as clearly sees it  lying with the core  states (greater  force, stronger state-machines, unequal exchange). The  differences  might be reconciled: since cores  do move,  but slowly, Quigley's cited forces may operate  at longer timescales  than  Wallerstein's, and in the opposite direction.  
Quigley's  causal  mechanism  (geographic  expansion  over  time) seems sufficient  to account  for  the  origin  of core-periphery  distinctions.  The  enormously  uneven  distribution of  particular  natural  resources  ( ores,  soils,  climates,  water,  etc.)  across  the globe and each of its  regions  may combine  with  the  inequality  of the  distribution  of human  populations and the  self-interested  power  of the  core  states  to  account  for the  perpetuation  of such regionalization  (in  all world-systems),  technological  change  (Wallerstein),  at lca-;t if surprising  or uncontrolled,  and,  more  effectively  and  inescapably,  core  wars  (Quigley), may  help  to  account  for core  declines  and/or  movements  and their  direction.
Quigley's  causal  mechanism  (geographic  expansion  over  time) seems sufficient  to account  for  the  origin  of core-periphery  distinctions.  The  enormously  uneven  distribution of  particular  natural  resources  ( ores,  soils,  climates,  water,  etc.)  across  the globe and each of its  regions  may combine  with  the  inequality  of the  distribution  of human  populations and the  self-interested  power  of the  core  states  to  account  for the  perpetuation  of such regionalization  (in  all world-systems),  technological  change  (Wallerstein),  at lca-;t if surprising  or uncontrolled,  and,  more  effectively  and  inescapably,  core  wars  (Quigley), may  help  to  account  for core  declines  and/or  movements  and their  direction.


It is not  clear  that  the  concept  of  "unequal"  exchange  is viable a<; a description--it seems to entail some  variant  of the  problematic  labor  theory  of value--or a<; an explanation--it seems  to  conflate  force,  which  would  plausibly  explain  involuntary  transfers of  surplus, with  technological  inequality,  which  would  plausibly  explain voluntary  exchanges  of high-labor-input  for low-input  commodities.  The  degree  to  which goods transports  arc characterized  by  either  vs. both  of those  mechanisms  would seem to be an intriguing  but empirical question. If cores  move,  there  is no reason to create  a triple  core-semiperiphery-periphery distinction  within  civilizations,  and we can reserve  "periphery" to designate those area<; outside a civilization  (Wallerstein's  "external arena<;") into  which  it may, or may  not, expand  at some  future  time.  The structural necessity of  an intermediate zone within  a world-economy at best  remains  to  be demonstrated. 9. Cyclicity. The growth of the  capitalist  world-economy "ha<; not  been  constant, but ha<; occurred in wavelike spurts  of expansion and contraction"  caused by production exceeding  effective demand  (PWE  6). In periods  of  expansion, "Production  is expanding overall  and in  most  places. Employment  is extensive. Population  is growing. Prosperity  is the sign  of the time." Real wages  "for large  numbers of people  may  be  declining"  but  nominal prices  steadily inflate. "There  is considerable  social ferment,"  optimism, daring, apparent individual  mobility, apparently providential  progress. (TMWS2  129) Periods of downturn  "arc much  more visibly uneven." The  "regression, stagnation, withdrawal,  bad times"  arc "not bad for  everyone." Reduced production and employment are more likely  in the  peripheral area<;. "The  strong  not  only survive; they  :frequently thrive." (TMWS2 178)
It is not  clear  that  the  concept  of  "unequal"  exchange  is viable as a description--it seems to entail some  variant  of the  problematic  labor  theory  of value--or as an explanation--it seems  to  conflate  force,  which  would  plausibly  explain  involuntary  transfers of  surplus, with  technological  inequality,  which  would  plausibly  explain voluntary  exchanges  of high-labor-input  for low-input  commodities.  The  degree  to  which goods transports  arc characterized  by  either  vs. both  of those  mechanisms  would seem to be an intriguing  but empirical question. If cores  move,  there  is no reason to create  a triple  core-semiperiphery-periphery distinction  within  civilizations,  and we can reserve  "periphery" to designate those areas outside a civilization  (Wallerstein's  "external arenas") into  which  it may, or may  not, expand  at some  future  time.  The structural necessity of  an intermediate zone within  a world-economy at best  remains  to  be demonstrated.  
 


Market  forces  in the  capitalist  world-economy  have  produced  an alternating  cycle of regular  and significant  expansions  and stagnations  in the  system a<; a whole (HC  34). What  forces  account  for  cyclicity  in  capitalism?  Perhaps  an underlying  cycle  of enterprise aging:  every  fifty  years  or so  commodity  chains  have  been  restructured,  resources  more efficiently  reallocated,  some  production  processes  demoted  and relocated  toward  the periphery,  some  entrepreneurs  and workers  eliminated  (HC  34-35). Eliminated producers tend  to  be the  less  efficient;  these  tend  to  be the  "older" enterprises ( and the states in which  they  arc  located)  because  of costs  of amortizing  "older"  capital  investment  and "rising  labor  costs  resulting  from  the  growing  strength  of workers' organization"  (PWE  6-7). Perhaps  a demand  cycle:  it  is suggested  that  "'expansion  occurs when the  totality of world production  is less  than  world  effective  demand, a<; permitted  by the existing distribution of world purcha<;ing power,  and that  'contraction'  occurs  when  total  world production exceeds world effective  demand.  These  arc  cycles  of 7 5 - l 00 years length  in my view and the downward  cycle  is only resolved  by a political  reallocation of world income that effectively  expands world  demand."  (Wallerstcin   1975, 24) Perhaps  a political  cycle:  periods  of stagnation  reduce overall production, lead to cla<;s struggles  in core  countries  which  force  redistribution  of income to  their lower  strata and raise  workers'  standards  of living.  U ppcr strata compensate  for this  by incorporating  new zones,  new  lower  strata,  new  ultralow-incomc-rcceiving   direct producers  (PWE  6). In any ca<;c, there  is a longer-term, a<;ymptotic and limited trend a<; well: "The  mechanism by which  the  capitalist  system  ultmatcly resolves  its recurrent cyclical downturns  is expansion:  outward spatially,  and internally  in terms of the 'freeing'  of the markct...via the  steady  proletarianization  of  scmiproletarian   labor and the steady commercialization  of semi-market oriented  land." The  geographic  limits arc largely  reached; the  freeing of the factors  of production  is perhaps  halfway completed. (CWE  162) This  implies that  at some point  a stagnation  will become  irresolvable. [Page 53] Journal  of  World-Systems  Research Comment. Cycles in civilizations/world systems  have  been observed  since  Vico, or even Ibn Khaldun.  The  best recent kinematic  account seems to have  been  Toynbee's  revised Hcllcno-Sinic  model (Toynbee, 1961,  197-209, 304; Wilkinson,  1986). The  Toynbccan cycles seem to be a<; political as economic, not necessarily economically determined. Among  economically driven cyclical  theories, however, Quiglcy's  institutionalization theory seem<; more satisfactory than  Wallcrstcin's  because  it  is more general  ( cross-
9. Cyclicity.
civilizational  and cross-polity)  in  its  application.  The  mechanisms  Wallcrstcin cites probably  do work  locally,  within  markets,  and  within  the  scope of the  larger  Quiglcyan process,  whose  fluctuations  have  a much  greater  wavelength  than  Wallcrstcin's. In a system  with  several  modes  of production/instrument.., of expansion,  of course,  there  can be more  than  one underlying  (or  regional)  Quiglcyan cycle  at work.  Quiglcy's supply-side emphasis  on waves  of  ( open-ended)  technological  innovation  is as notable as Wallcrstcin's  demand-side  concentration  on purchasing  power and his emphasis  on (asymptotically  limited)  geographically  and  structurally-based  expansion.  Supply-side and demand-side  factors  may very well work  on  different  timescales;  the  possibilities  of technological  innovation  still  seem  so  large as to  be  able to  outweigh, for the  next centuries  at least,  the  effects  of reaching  the  other  limits  to  growth;  here  again I would choose  to  follow  Quigley. 10.
 
The growth of the  capitalist  world-economy "has not  been  constant, but has occurred in wavelike spurts  of expansion and contraction"  caused by production exceeding  effective demand  (PWE  6). In periods  of  expansion, "Production  is expanding overall  and in  most  places. Employment  is extensive. Population  is growing. Prosperity  is the sign  of the time." Real wages  "for large  numbers of people  may  be  declining"  but  nominal prices  steadily inflate. "There  is considerable  social ferment,"  optimism, daring, apparent individual  mobility, apparently providential  progress. (TMWS2  129) Periods of downturn  "arc much  more visibly uneven." The  "regression, stagnation, withdrawal,  bad times"  arc "not bad for  everyone." Reduced production and employment are more likely  in the  peripheral areas. "The  strong  not  only survive; they frequently thrive." (TMWS2 178)
 
Market  forces  in the  capitalist  world-economy  have  produced  an alternating  cycle of regular  and significant  expansions  and stagnations  in the  system as a whole (HC  34). What  forces  account  for  cyclicity  in  capitalism?  Perhaps  an underlying  cycle  of enterprise aging:  every  fifty  years  or so  commodity  chains  have  been  restructured,  resources  more efficiently  reallocated,  some  production  processes  demoted  and relocated  toward  the periphery,  some  entrepreneurs  and workers  eliminated  (HC  34-35). Eliminated producers tend  to  be the  less  efficient;  these  tend  to  be the  "older" enterprises ( and the states in which  they  arc  located)  because  of costs  of amortizing  "older"  capital  investment  and "rising  labor  costs  resulting  from  the  growing  strength  of workers' organization"  (PWE  6-7). Perhaps  a demand  cycle:  it  is suggested  that  "'expansion  occurs when the  totality of world production  is less  than  world  effective  demand, as permitted  by the existing distribution of world purchasing power,  and that  'contraction'  occurs  when  total  world production exceeds world effective  demand.  These  arc  cycles  of 7 5 - l 00 years length  in my view and the downward  cycle  is only resolved  by a political  reallocation of world income that effectively  expands world  demand."  (Wallerstein   1975, 24) Perhaps  a political  cycle:  periods  of stagnation  reduce overall production, lead to class struggles  in core  countries  which  force  redistribution  of income to  their lower  strata and raise  workers'  standards  of living.  Upper strata compensate  for this  by incorporating  new zones,  new  lower  strata,  new  ultralow-income-receiving   direct producers  (PWE  6). In any case, there  is a longer-term, asymptotic and limited trend as well: "The  mechanism by which  the  capitalist  system  ultimately resolves  its recurrent cyclical downturns  is expansion:  outward spatially,  and internally  in terms of the 'freeing'  of the market...via the  steady  proletarianization  of  semiproletarian   labor and the steady commercialization  of semi-market oriented  land." The  geographic  limits arc largely  reached; the  freeing of the factors  of production  is perhaps  halfway completed. (CWE  162) This  implies that  at some point  a stagnation  will become  irresolvable. [
 
Comment. Cycles in civilizations/world systems  have  been observed  since  Vico, or even Ibn Khaldun.  The  best recent kinematic  account seems to have  been  Toynbee's  revised Helleno-Sinic  model (Toynbee, 1961,  197-209, 304; Wilkinson,  1986). The  Toynbian cycles seem to be as political as economic, not necessarily economically determined. Among  economically driven cyclical  theories, however, Quigley's  institutionalization theory seems more satisfactory than  Wallerstein's  because  it  is more general  ( cross-civilizational  and cross-polity)  in  its  application.  The  mechanisms  Wallerstein cites probably  do work  locally,  within  markets,  and  within  the  scope of the  larger  Quigleyan process,  whose  fluctuations  have  a much  greater  wavelength  than  Wallerstein's. In a system  with  several  modes  of production/instrument.., of expansion,  of course,  there  can be more  than  one underlying  (or  regional)  Quigleyan cycle  at work.  Quigley's supply-side emphasis  on waves  of  ( open-ended)  technological  innovation  is as notable as Wallerstein's  demand-side  concentration  on purchasing  power and his emphasis  on (asymptotically  limited)  geographically  and  structurally-based  expansion.  Supply-side and demand-side  factors  may very well work  on  different  timescales;  the  possibilities  of technological  innovation  still  seem  so  large as to  be  able to  outweigh, for the  next centuries  at least,  the  effects  of reaching  the  other  limits  to  growth;  here  again I would choose  to  follow  Quigley. 10.


=More information=
=More information=


More of this text here:  [[Hegemony]].
More of this text here:  [[Hegemony]].
[[Category:Civilizational Analysis]]


[[Category:Civilizational Analysis]]
[[Category:Civilizational Analysis]]

Revision as of 14:02, 12 July 2022

Discussion

Summary and comments of Wallerstein's theories by David Wilkinson:

(to be edited)

Important features of the modern capitalist world-economy in Wallerstein's theory, requiring and receiving closer scrutiny, arc that it is: regionally polarized, cyclical, occasionally hegemonic, regressive, doomed and surpassable. To these features we shall turn next. Comment. Wallerstein believes neither in the revolutionary nor in the progressive image of capitalism; but he misses the strongest argument against both. Whether we use an accumulative or ( as I prefer) a market-based propertarian definition of capitalism, it long predates the modern era, seems to have time-boundaries close or identical to those of the phenomenon of civilization itself, and therefore cannot be either as (recently) revolutionary or as progressive as is sometimes believed. The idea of "capitalism" as a reformist strategy for the survival of a landed aristocracy is remarkably stimulating. Quigley's idea of the reform of an institution of expansion seems to provide the general theoretical category of which this is a possible instance. (Quigley himself contends that capitalism, by which he means "an economic system motivated by the pursuit of profits within a price structure," could be seen either as a circumvention of feudalism or as a reform of the medieval commercial system: 1961, 233). Pre-modern and post-modern capitalist innovations may also need reinterpreting as reformist strategics, or as circumventions, e.g. of a socialist state, as in the USSR and China today. The economic continuity which Wallerstein finds between "feudal" and "modern" Europe is the easier to accept since it is paralleled by a political continuity: they arc periods in the history of a region of the same states system (vide Wilkinson, 1988, 55-57).

Wallerstein seems correct in asserting, and Quigley wrong in denying, that there today exists a single world-system' civilization, product of the global spread of what was in the fifteenth century only one of many such. It is not, however possible to accept that feudal Europe, or modern Europe (with or without Iberian America) ever constituted a world system with a largely self-contained life and endogenous dynamics. Indeed, it seems strange even in sheerly economic terms to find Spanish America (an object of predation and redistribution rather than commerce) has nonetheless gotten into the world-system, while Russia, Turkey and Persia arc external to it. I prefer the judgement that, like Quigley's Orthodox and Islamic civilizations, Wallerstein's Russian, Turkish and Persian world-empires, were not "external arenas" but part and parcel of a single system, a single process and struggle, that of Central Civilization, which a.., a whole resembled a Wallersteinian "world economy" more than did any of its parts, which were not "worlds" to themselves politically, nor, in consequence, economically. It is not clear by what definition equality is incompatible with a capitalist world-economy; definitional incompatibilities are in any case innocuous, since it is empirical incompatibilities that have practical significance. In this case the underlying question is, if every human society whatsoever displays inequality ( e.g. by age, gender, lineage) and new forms of inequality appear with every enlargement or complication of human society, whether capitalism ha.., any relationship to equality except that of being one of the forms in which it fails to occur. I believe that researchers who look for pre-modern classic, nations, households and states will find them without much difficulty.


Core and periphery.

A world economy has a geographical as well as a functional division of labor. "World-economics ... are divided into core states and peripheral area..,." Core states arc advantaged, have strong state machineries and national cultures; peripheral area.., have weak or nonexistent indigenous states (TMWSl 349). Core and periphery are features of capitalism: "world-empires had joined their 'edges' to the center by the collection of tribute, otherwise leaving relatively intact the production systems over which they had 'suzerainty,' whereas the capitalist world-economy 'peripheralized' area.., economically by incorporating them into the division of labor." (Hopkins, Wallerstein et al., 1982b, 55) a. Causation. Why is there regional polarization? Wallerstein's various answers include definitional or functional requisiteness, geoeconomic regionalism (core-likeness) and force (unequal exchange).


1. Requisiteness.

"[W]ithin a capitalist world-economy, all states cannot 'develop' simultaneously by definition, since the system functions by virtue of having unequal core and peripheral regions." (W 1975, 23)


2. Geography.

Production processes are linked in complex commodity chains (HC 16). These chains have a directionality, raw-to-finished. Commodity chains have been geographically convergent: "they have tended to move from the peripheries of the capitalist world-economy to-the centres or cores" (HC 30). The more easily monopolized processes arc concentrated in core area..,, the less skilled, more extensive manpower processes in "peripheral" area.., (PWE 4-5). What "makes a production process core-like or periphery-like is the degree to which it incorporates labor-value, is mechanized, and is highly profitable" (PWE 16). There arc core states and periphery states because there "tend to be geographical localizations of productive activities such that core -like production activities and periphery-like production activities tend each to be spatially grouped together" (PWE 15).

Unequal exchange.

"The exchange of product.., containing unequal amounts of social labor we may call the core/periphery relationship" (PWE 15). There is a parallel political polarization between strong core states and weaker peripheral states, "the 'political' process of 'imperialism' being what makes possible the 'economic' process of 'unequal exchange'." (PWE 5) Unequal exchange "means, ultimately, the transfer of some of the surplus of one area to a receiver of surplus in another" a.., "consequence of the fact that more labor power ha.., gone into producing the value exchanged in on e area than in the other." (WSA 94) Unequal exchange exists when commodities moving one way incarnate more "real input ( cost)" than equally-priced commodities moving the other way (HC 31 ). Unequal exchange existed in pre-capitalism when one party to a market transaction used force to improve his price (HC 30-31 ). Core zones arc those which gain profit or surplus by unequal exchange transactions (HC 31-32). In capitalism, unequal exchange ha.., been concealed by the fact that commodity chains cross state frontiers (HC 31 ). Strong core state-machines keep peripheral state -structures weaker, their economics lower on the commodity chain, their wage-rates lower (HC 32). This is done by force --wars and colonization--when there arc significant political challenges to existing inequalities, otherwise by market supply-and-demand with an enormous apparatus of force latent (HC 32-33). b. Change. Cores move over time (PWE 103, TMWSl 350, CWE 33). New technologies render different commodities "high-profit, high-wage" at different moments: "At first, wheat was exchanged against textiles; later textiles against steel; today steel against computers and wheat" (PWE 103).

c. Intermediate zones.


"There always exist semiperipheral zones" (PWE 15). Semiperipheral states "function as loci of mixed kind.:; of production activities" (PWE 15), have enterprises engaged in both "core-like" and "peripheral" processes. In moments of expansion of the world-economy, these states "serve to some extent a.:; economic transmission belts and political agents" of some imperial core power. In periods of stagnation and crisis, core powers' hold on these states may be weakened; one or two, which arc strong enough, may play among the rivals, erect new quasi-monopolies, displace some falling core powers and impose thc1rnclvcs a.:; new core powers (PWE 7). Semiperipheral area-; "arc in between the core and the periphery on a series of dimensions, such a.:; the complexity of economic activities, strength of the state machinery, cultural integrity, etc. Some of these area-; had been core area-; of earlier versions of a given world-economy. Some had been peripheral area-; that were later promoted, so to speak, a.:; a result of the changing geopolitics of an expanding world-economy." (TMWSl 349) "The semiperiphery is a necessary structural clement in a world-economy. These area-; play a role parallel to that played, mutatis mutandis, by middle trading groups in an empire .... These middle area-; (like middle groups in an empire) partially deflect the political pressures which groups primarily located in peripheral area-; might otherwise direct against core states and the groups which operate within and through their state machineries." (TMWSl 349-350) The middle strata in world-economics consist of the semiperipheral states. (CWE 23) "The three structural positions in a world economy--core, periphery, and semiperiphery -- had become stabilized by about 1640." (CWE 18)

Quigley seems right to treat cores and peripheries as features of all civilizations, not simply of states-system periods or capitalist instruments of expansion, and right again to treat them in the first instance as rooted in the fact that expansion necessarily means that some regions will enter a civilization later than others. Wallerstein seems right to assert that cores move in space over time; this can be seen as a different way of perceiving, what Quigley is sharper in asserting, that at least some semiperipheral and peripheral states have usually in the long run been advantaged in imperialist war and universal-empire- building. An interesting question, not fully explored, is that of the balance of advantage in economic expansion. Quigley secs it as lying with the latecomers (because of geographic circumvention, developmental short -cuts, and preferential diffusion of material culture); Wallerstein as clearly sees it lying with the core states (greater force, stronger state-machines, unequal exchange). The differences might be reconciled: since cores do move, but slowly, Quigley's cited forces may operate at longer timescales than Wallerstein's, and in the opposite direction.

Quigley's causal mechanism (geographic expansion over time) seems sufficient to account for the origin of core-periphery distinctions. The enormously uneven distribution of particular natural resources ( ores, soils, climates, water, etc.) across the globe and each of its regions may combine with the inequality of the distribution of human populations and the self-interested power of the core states to account for the perpetuation of such regionalization (in all world-systems), technological change (Wallerstein), at lca-;t if surprising or uncontrolled, and, more effectively and inescapably, core wars (Quigley), may help to account for core declines and/or movements and their direction.

It is not clear that the concept of "unequal" exchange is viable as a description--it seems to entail some variant of the problematic labor theory of value--or as an explanation--it seems to conflate force, which would plausibly explain involuntary transfers of surplus, with technological inequality, which would plausibly explain voluntary exchanges of high-labor-input for low-input commodities. The degree to which goods transports arc characterized by either vs. both of those mechanisms would seem to be an intriguing but empirical question. If cores move, there is no reason to create a triple core-semiperiphery-periphery distinction within civilizations, and we can reserve "periphery" to designate those areas outside a civilization (Wallerstein's "external arenas") into which it may, or may not, expand at some future time. The structural necessity of an intermediate zone within a world-economy at best remains to be demonstrated.


9. Cyclicity.

The growth of the capitalist world-economy "has not been constant, but has occurred in wavelike spurts of expansion and contraction" caused by production exceeding effective demand (PWE 6). In periods of expansion, "Production is expanding overall and in most places. Employment is extensive. Population is growing. Prosperity is the sign of the time." Real wages "for large numbers of people may be declining" but nominal prices steadily inflate. "There is considerable social ferment," optimism, daring, apparent individual mobility, apparently providential progress. (TMWS2 129) Periods of downturn "arc much more visibly uneven." The "regression, stagnation, withdrawal, bad times" arc "not bad for everyone." Reduced production and employment are more likely in the peripheral areas. "The strong not only survive; they frequently thrive." (TMWS2 178)

Market forces in the capitalist world-economy have produced an alternating cycle of regular and significant expansions and stagnations in the system as a whole (HC 34). What forces account for cyclicity in capitalism? Perhaps an underlying cycle of enterprise aging: every fifty years or so commodity chains have been restructured, resources more efficiently reallocated, some production processes demoted and relocated toward the periphery, some entrepreneurs and workers eliminated (HC 34-35). Eliminated producers tend to be the less efficient; these tend to be the "older" enterprises ( and the states in which they arc located) because of costs of amortizing "older" capital investment and "rising labor costs resulting from the growing strength of workers' organization" (PWE 6-7). Perhaps a demand cycle: it is suggested that "'expansion occurs when the totality of world production is less than world effective demand, as permitted by the existing distribution of world purchasing power, and that 'contraction' occurs when total world production exceeds world effective demand. These arc cycles of 7 5 - l 00 years length in my view and the downward cycle is only resolved by a political reallocation of world income that effectively expands world demand." (Wallerstein 1975, 24) Perhaps a political cycle: periods of stagnation reduce overall production, lead to class struggles in core countries which force redistribution of income to their lower strata and raise workers' standards of living. Upper strata compensate for this by incorporating new zones, new lower strata, new ultralow-income-receiving direct producers (PWE 6). In any case, there is a longer-term, asymptotic and limited trend as well: "The mechanism by which the capitalist system ultimately resolves its recurrent cyclical downturns is expansion: outward spatially, and internally in terms of the 'freeing' of the market...via the steady proletarianization of semiproletarian labor and the steady commercialization of semi-market oriented land." The geographic limits arc largely reached; the freeing of the factors of production is perhaps halfway completed. (CWE 162) This implies that at some point a stagnation will become irresolvable. [

Comment. Cycles in civilizations/world systems have been observed since Vico, or even Ibn Khaldun. The best recent kinematic account seems to have been Toynbee's revised Helleno-Sinic model (Toynbee, 1961, 197-209, 304; Wilkinson, 1986). The Toynbian cycles seem to be as political as economic, not necessarily economically determined. Among economically driven cyclical theories, however, Quigley's institutionalization theory seems more satisfactory than Wallerstein's because it is more general ( cross-civilizational and cross-polity) in its application. The mechanisms Wallerstein cites probably do work locally, within markets, and within the scope of the larger Quigleyan process, whose fluctuations have a much greater wavelength than Wallerstein's. In a system with several modes of production/instrument.., of expansion, of course, there can be more than one underlying (or regional) Quigleyan cycle at work. Quigley's supply-side emphasis on waves of ( open-ended) technological innovation is as notable as Wallerstein's demand-side concentration on purchasing power and his emphasis on (asymptotically limited) geographically and structurally-based expansion. Supply-side and demand-side factors may very well work on different timescales; the possibilities of technological innovation still seem so large as to be able to outweigh, for the next centuries at least, the effects of reaching the other limits to growth; here again I would choose to follow Quigley. 10.

More information

More of this text here: Hegemony.