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| Transfinancial Economics is an evolving project nearing basic completion. It should be said that there has been a degree of interest in it from some economists including Professor Prem Sikka, and the noted autodidact, and futurist Hazel Henderson.In April 2010 it was also a subject discussed at a major scientific conference (the ICEME, or International Conference of Engineering, and Meta-Engineering, Florida, USA).
| | The following is a brief paper which also appears in a respected academic book edited by Dr Debesh Bhowmik. It is entitled ''An Approach Towards Central Bank Digital Currency'' published by Kunal Books, New Delhi, 2022. In Chapter4 the material below is presented. Also, it should be mentioned that a paper published in 2016 entitled ''Orthodox Monetary Theory: A Critique From Post-Keynesianism and Transfinancial Economics'' by Dante A. Urbina appears in a book called ''International Monetary System. Past, Present, and Future'' Regal Publishing, India. RS |
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| It is important to add that TFE regards the financial system as a huge global IT system, and recognizes the reality that virtually all money exists as electronic,or digital data transmitted from one bank account to another.This means that the free flow of capital be tracked, and controlled if necessary.
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| It must said that the serious, and full development of TFE will require the help of experts notably in the fields of economics, the law, and computer science.
| | == FUTURISTIC ECONOMICS FOR THE 21ST CENTURY? == |
| | by [[Robert Searle]] |
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| | === Abstract === |
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| '''Please note that the following may be subject to changes, and possible corrections. It is still a "work in progress" project. Also, the Kheper presentation on TFE which crops up on the google search engine is out of date, and not fully authorative. It may be replaced, or deleted fairly soon.'''. | | ''The following is in brief concerned with the very basics of an emerging paradigm known as Transfinancial Economics or TFE. It can be seen as a form of Keynesian Economics. Basic to it is the huge relevance of the use of computers and information technology in finance. This would act as a means of notably influencing the economy towards a more ethical, and greener environmentally friendly economy as never before. Many will regard TFE as being similar to Modern Monetary Theory or MMT which has gained a large amount of publicity in recent years. However, the latter is regarded as being a precursor and possible stopgap to TFE which is far more advanced. At the time of writing what follows is still “work in progress”. Of course, it raises many questions which may be answered in the near future such as TFE’s connection with exchange rates and of course the possible emergence of Central Bank Digital Currencies, or CBDCs.'' |
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| | Keywords: Transfinancial Economics, Modern Monetary Theory, Inflation Taxation, Digital Price Controls, Climate Change |
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| | JEL Classification Codes: E42,F33,F65,G00,O3,Q54 |
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| | === 1. Nationwide Electronic/Digital Price Controls === |
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| | Essentially, Transfinancial Economics or TFE believes notably that new unearned repayable and non-repayable money can be digitally created ex nihilo and phased into the economy safely without leading to uncontrolled levels of inflation or indeed hyperinflation. This is simply done with the aid of highly flexible electronic digital price controls used for nearly every kind of financial transaction in real time. Thus, if there is a concern about some rise in the prices of certain goods and services these could be digitally capped temporarily. This would be an instantaneous process and could occur automatically in any part of the economy. This could be undertaken with the help of supercomputers or more likely by quantum computers (Clegg, 2021). |
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| | Of course, such digital price controls are not the ideal way of doing things but they are better than nothing. Some form of compensation could be created for retailers if desired. However, it must be stressed here that with the right algorithms the market price is allowed to change naturally as much as possible. Whether we like it or not most of the money exists as digital data in a bank. It is used in any number of transaction but “real” money like cash and coin can still be used (unmonitored or possibly monitored in some way) but it would make up only a tiny fraction of the overall economy, and hence, would have near zero significance in our understanding of the whole economy. This is an important but basic point to understand. |
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| | Also, in connection notably with vital climate change projects a legally binding agreement should ideally be undertaken to use certain algorithms to track funding. They could detect and instantly ” freeze” in real-time any money that may be involved in fraud. |
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| | === 2. Big Data and Real-Time Economics/The Uncloaking of the “Invisible Hand”. === |
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| | As one might well realize it would be possible to understand the entire economy in real-time (or near real-time). This colossal accounting data would be created 24/7 with virtually every transaction notably using barcodes, or something similar. The central Inflation Authority would be programmed to instantly check the inflation status of each product or service and if at all necessary instant temporary price capping may occur. Hence, a huge picture of the economy would be possible and could prove invaluable for future economists. Also, such incoming real-time economic indicators would be totally up to date and as such would have no long-time lags unlike conventional economic data. |
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| '''TFE, A Brief Introduction.'''
| | In spite of this though such information cannot fully rule out uncertainty in the economy. Yet, the data emerging instantaneously should at least give us a far better idea of how it is “working” and this could be important for decision-making. AI or Artificial Intelligence could also play a vital role in all this. Apart from identified transaction data there are what are referred to as Faster Indicators. These use various types of economic activity to be factored in to give us an even wider understanding of the economy in real time (Salina, 2020; Haldane, 2018). |
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| | It must be made clear that what we have been saying so far is a capitalist economy. TFE though can also be adapted into a socialist or communist type of economy because it can notably make central planning a lot easier and more likely to succeed unlike conventional economics. Indeed, Economic Cybernetics is an example of this kind of approach, and it is also possible in some future time to have an economy which is “completely” automated and where money is no longer necessary (Cockshott & Cottrell, 1993). |
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| | The concepts of TFE are like those proposed by Clifford Douglas and his Social Credit Movement but they have the added dimension of using Big Data and instant digital price capping which did not exist in his time. If he were around today, he would have been impressed by the use of computers, smart phones, plastic cards, et al in developing a futuristic economy. Modern Monetary Theory or MMT is to some extent similar. It should be added too that the term “Social Credit” has nothing to do with the dystopian system of the same name in China (Heydorn, 2014). |
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| | Finally in this section of this brief paper it should be said that in time the financial industry will hopefully be powered more and more by sustainable (non-fossil fuel) electricity, and it should be said too that it is possible |
| | to have a high degree of commercial confidentiality in connection with the digital transaction data instantaneously going to the Inflation Authority 24/7 for specific businesses of one kind, or another. |
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| The following maybe helpful for new readers.
| | === 3. Maintaining the Value of Money in Real-Time. === |
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| | TFE would be able to maintain the value of money in real-time at the point of sale (POS). For example, person T buys product A in a shop and its retail price is instantly checked for its inflation status. It is found to be above the inflation rate by 50p and the customer though has already spent this amount but is compensated for it digitally by having it recreated into his or her account. This is called Above Inflation Adjustment. In another instance, person T buys product C which is 30p below the inflation rate and it is the retailer who gets the extra 30p by a digital recreation of it in her or her account. This is called Below Inflation Adjustment. (McDermott,2004). |
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| | === 4. Dynamic Pricing in Real-Time === |
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| Essentially, TFE claims that new largely monitored non-repayable money could be created electronically by special transparent, and credible funding mechanisms, or Facilitation Banks (and/or by governments to some extent) to notably fund in full, or in part environmental, and socio-economic projects of high ethical value. This would help to '''speed''' things up unlike loans.... though interest free ones could also be created electronically when necessary.The aim of all this is also to give powerful financial incentives to businesses that could profit with genuine projects, and more importantly help save the planet, and its people as far as possible from extreme weather events which could occur via Climate Change. | | Fintech is short for Financial Technology. It is a critical part of the TFE paradigm without which it cannot exist. A good example of such financial technology which exists now is Dynamic Pricing. Essentially, it can automatically deal with variable pricing due to changes in supply and demand. It has been successfully utilised in areas such as transportation, hospitality, professional sports, retail, and the like. Even Amazon uses it along with many other companies (Sharda, 2018). All this adds greater credibility to the idea of developing a genuine real-time economy on a national and ultimately international scale. Of course, it has to be realized and remembered that real-time data is used by financial markets around the world in which investors can keep an eye on the value of their shares, or securities. Traders can use such information to make “bets” on the rise and fall of prices of the various companies such as Apple, Google, Unilever, and many other lesser-known ones. |
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| | === 5. TFE and the Climate Change Emergency === |
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| | At present the greatest challenge facing humanity is the climate change emergency. Tragically, it seems highly likely that it will become irreversible (if it is not already). As such governments, Bigtech companies, and smaller businesses must try if possible to make serious efforts to create credible resilient adaption and mitigation projects on a scale never before known in human history. All this ultimately costs money. Hence, TFE. With this emerging paradigm it would be possible to create new money to fund credible and “feasible” green projects. Of course, investors could be invited to invest venture capital into such investments which could prove lucrative. Such projects may seem in some cases more like “science fiction” but now is the time to think outside the box otherwise we could see the global demise of the human race. It is simple as that. Climate change emergency is not just a physical challenge it is also a spiritual one of the highest order. |
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| What has been suggested above is primary TFE, and the amount of new money created is more limited unlike advanced TFE.To avoid any serious inflation the planning of any large, or small project could if at all possible take into account the productive capacity of suppliers. Thus, products, and/or services could be planned beforehand so that there is as far as possible no unexpected demand. This could be further reinforced if the costs of the relevant products could be electronically tracked, and controlled if, and when necessary to ensure "protection" from the business cycle(s) of Free Market economy. In other words, we would have a two tier system ideally on a global scale in which we would have a more "controlled" economy, and ofcourse the present one in the developed world. In other words, we would have a form of Advanced Market Commitment, or AMC.
| | Here are a few examples of potential green projects which need to be undertaken (though some of them are in the making or have already been done but not on a scale ultimately necessary for human survival) and they include more solar and wind and solar power facilities; more factory plants and mechanical trees to suck carbon emissions out of the atmosphere; more electric cars; more advances in Nanotechnology in which atomic structures could create new materials in a world of limited resources; possible underground cities and even underground agriculture may be a required to some extent; natural solutions; sun dimming which may be necessary but a controversial move; more flood defences; more recycling centres and so on. At the same time with all this going on the likes of entrepreneurs such as Bezos and Musk can “wisely” continue with the possible colonisation of the moon and even mars (Gates, 2002; Carney, 2021). |
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| | === 6. The Basic Differences between Transfinancial Economics and Modern Monetary Theory === |
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| | Modern Monetary Theory is at the time of writing been in the public spotlight for several years and has attracted much public attention. It is similar to Transfinancial Economics or TFE. MMT claims that the government is the sole issuer of the national currency and can fund public expenditure and only raises taxation, if necessary, as a means of controlling inflation at some future date. In this respect, TFE is in agreement. Infact, something like MMT already exists. It is called Deficit Spending. This is when governments need more money and can borrow it and (or) create new amounts of it (Kelton, 2020). This of course works but only to a limited extent. Now, the key differences are: |
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| A startling aspect with so-called advanced stage TFE is the possiblity to gain a near perfect knowledge of the entire economy of the country. The data via full Electronic Transaction Monitoring (or ETM) would be collected 24/7 in "real-time" via the ID codes,and barcodes of products, and services at the point of sale, or later transactions with banks. Such transaction data would not just be useful to the companies but could be simultaneously transmitted to a resource/inflation agency. It is there that supercomputers could be used to instantly check the Free Market Prices of goods, and services. Due to comprehensive programming price comparisons are made in "real-time", and inflationary pressures would be detected. This transaction data would be vital to bring about wholesale sea change towards an environmentally sustainable, and socially ethical economy, as more, and more new electronically monitored non-repayable money could be created '''with real confidence''', and without any serious inflation. As we would have a highly accurate understanding of the real economy inflation risks could be accurately assessed via computer simulations of the economy itself. This is revolutionary when fully understood. However, it cannot ofcourse fully rule out uncertainty.
| | a) TFE uses digital price controls to monitor and if necessary, cap the market price. These would cover the entire economy and not just tiny sections of it. MMT though would use taxation to control inflation instead but may ultimately use price controls. |
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| | b) Unlike MMT TFE has a very advanced understanding of the economy via Big Data in real-time whilst the former would probably largely rely on old outdated understanding of economics. |
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| Moreover, it may be possible to develop a limited form of ETM.This would be alot quicker to set up, and could be undertaken on a local, or national scale. This is to some extent explained in the main body of this p2pfoundation entry.
| | c) As MMT continues to create new money into the economy a point may be reached that too much money will circulate and could lead to not just gradual rises in inflation but to a sudden mass catastrophic state of hyperinflation. With TFE such problems are dealt with directly by digital controls that would instantaneously control the situation at a touch of a button or indeed happen automatically. |
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| | d) Since TFE would have a far more accurate comprehension of the economy in real-time it can assess the potential inflation tax liability (possibly as an online sales tax) months or years ahead. On the other hand, MMT could find itself in a situation in which the overall inflation tax liability would be too heavy, and could even cause social unrest. Incidentally, it should be added that a tax rebate is possible in which the inflation taxation paid could be digitally recreated in full, or in part at a future date. |
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| Anyway, another aspect of advanced TFE, and full ETM is taxation itself could possibly be phased out. Moreover, with advanced TFE fuller funding of charitable NGOs would also become possible, and fundraising could ultimately be phased out altogether. However, as with primary TFE productive capacity is still taken into account as far as possible but with advanced TFE a "clear" picture of it would emerge.
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| If, at all necessary there would be direct electronic controls to ensure inflation, and currency devaluation can never get out of hand.This would involve an instantaneous intervention with little, or no time-lag...(unlike interest rates, and taxation which could be phased out in time). The direct controls concerned would in the main probably involve the electronic creation of "subsides".. (ie. new money not earned from taxes at all), or "adjustments" at the point of sale, and the cashier may inform the customer of it. In other instances, an instant inflation "tax" might be necessary in which the deducted amount could be taken off. In most, if not all cases probably, it could be recreated electronically in the bank account of the customer, and the retailer. However, as far as income tax is concerned it is allowed to continue via conventional means for its collection rather than undertaken by some form of "instant" electronic deduction(s).
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| It is also important to point out that we are not discussing a Soviet style command economy, because the Free Market Price is maintained, and Capitalism in an increasingly more ethical form (due to increasing powerful financial incentives)would still continue until there is "full" automation when money, and wage slavery would no longer exist. Hopefully, a more advanced technological, and more moral human civilization will largely emerge based on improved democracy, universal human rights, and greater fairness.In other words, global justice.....As can be seen TFE is concerned essentially with a systems change to achieve these lofty goals.
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| PS. Faxilitation Finance should be seen as a more advanced form of Qunatitative Easing, or QE for short
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| '''Present Day Economics.'''
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| Mainstream economics has developed a somewhat appalling reputation as the dismal science. Most of its work appears to be largely theoretical, and based on questionable statistics, and mathematical modeling. Its economic forecasts often, or not turn out to be wrong. Moreover, there is still an obsession with the need for more, and more unsustainable growth even though the planet has finite resources.
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| The so-called Neo-Classical Economists still have great influence over the economic profession. Many of them believe in the free market in which little, or virtually no regulation is needed, as capitalism appears at large to do well by being largely unimpeded. Yet, the so-called Efficient Market Hypothesis received a battering with the Great Financial Crisis (GFC) starting around 2008(and seemingly continuing at the time of writing with the Euro Crisis notably) in which the entire global banking system nearly collapsed but was saved by massive bailouts. Many commentators pointed out that this was largely due to a lack of real regulation of banks.
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| Transfinancial Economics, or TFE itself is a form of Heterodox Economics which deals with mainly non-mainstream economic thinking. At the time of writing many governments notably in the Eurozone have resorted to varying degrees of austerity rather than the Post-Keynesian Economics in which governments spend their way out of recession (due to the GFC). TFE believes in some form of the latter as a means of creating new jobs especially in the green economy.
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| '''The Creation Of Money.'''
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| In TFE, money is recognized as being digital, or electronic data which can be transmitted from one bank account to another at the touch of a button. Virtually all of it is created out of thin air by banks via Credit Creation as a repayayable loan with interest charged on it. The amounts they can issue are meant to be limited by a fraction of reserves held. This has been aptly called fractional reserve banking. NGOs,such as Positive Money,and the American Monetary Institute are concerned with this matter.
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| However, a small minority of experts claim that this is not correct,and that banks as soon as they create new money try to back it up with borrowed money from elsewhere. This seems more credible, but official documents appear to suggest that some form of "fractional reserve" banking persists...though the reserves "limits" are probably ignored by banks to leverage their "assets" (translated here as money created ex nihilo).
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| Some radical monetary reformers also believe (like the Muslims) that loans should be free of interest, or usury. Others though claim that interest should still exist, and could either go to private banks, or to the government. A number of reformers like the idea of banks possibly being nationalized, and others believe they should remain in the private sector.
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| It is also claimed that new non-repayable debt free money could be created by government, and this could reduce taxation. As the evidence seems to indicate if enough of it is produced it would not lead to serious inflation.
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| Apart from the above radical monetary reforms there are made up free local currencies which strictly speaking are meant to be tax free, and interest free. These have obvious limitations, but they are easily set up, and are workable.
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| TFE is also regarded by many as being very similiar to Social Credit, and Modern Monetary Reform, or MMT (based on Chartalism, and the Functional Finance of Abba Lerner).However, though the latter notably believes in the responsible creation of new money, the possible inflation of which could be controlled by conventional means (ie. the raising of of interest rates, and taxation to reduce money in the economy). Like TFE though Social Credit seem to include the use of direct controls to deal with inflation. Yet, the former economic system uses direct electronic means to do this as explained later notably at the point of transactions itself. Infact, the TFE approach gives policy makers, and technocrats ''full confidence'' that new money could be "safely" created in contrast arguably to "conventional" methods notably suggested in MMT. Moreover, they would be instantaneous unlike raising taxes,and interest in the main.
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| Some people would say that the notion of creating new non-repayable money is funny money. But as we have seen here in connection with banks they themselves create it ex nihilo as something repayable. Moreover, we are not discussing easy money because controls on its electronic issuance would be credible, and transparent.
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| To some, the notion that new money could be created at the push of a button is socially unacceptable. Yet, social,economic, and political injustice is also unacceptable especially if there is a lack of conventional earned funding available to back up NGOs, green businesses, and governments to deal with it.
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| '''The Problem With Redistribution.'''
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| There is probably more than enough money to change the world. The problem is gaining legal access to it especially where there is a genuine social, economic, or environmental issue at stake that may have been overlooked, or ignored. Apparently, most of the money of the world exists in financial trading, or "betting casinos" dealing with financial instruments such as derivaties, and currency speculation. Indeed, the sum total of the capital involved may be several times greater than the entire Gross Domestic Product(GDP) of the planet...
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| Some activist groups have suggested the implementation of the Transaction Tax on currency speculation in particular to raise funds notably for environmental concerns of the real productive economy. Ofcourse, nothing has seriously come of it so far.In TFE such an approach at "redistribution" in this context is ultimately seen as unnecessary, and frankly absurd when sufficient sums could be created at the press of a button. Indeed, it is interesting to point out that the Transaction Tax would probably be an instant electronic deduction.
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| Redistribution of financial wealth using taxation is fine, and ethical as far as it goes. But the problems facing humanity such as food security, climate change, population growth, and the like are colossal. To try, and solve this via earned money alone through taxation, and business investment will probably become increasingly difficult. Hence, the need for TFE to speed up, and facilitate change using in full, or in part newly created non-repayable money as an add on where necessary to earned capital. In other words, direct financial easing by special Facilitation Banks, and/or by governments if absolutely necessary.
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| '''The Emergence Of Facilitation Banks/ Primary TFE'''
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| The introduction of Facilitation Banks, or FBs is a crucial start towards full implementation of primary TFE in which limited amounts of new money could be created. They can be seen as "superbanks", or as prototypes of future banks, and banking. They could become a part of the mainstream banking system but they have far tighter regulatory framework to operate in. However as indicated earlier governments could also create their own money electronically with the right legal framework.
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| Anyway, FBs would have powers to electronically create closely monitored new non-repayable debt-free money (ie. Facilitation Finance ) as well as repayable interest free loans if necessary. The interest on loans does not have to come from the customer but instead be electronically created by the Central Bank, or by some indpendent authority. Something similiar could happen with the debt-free capital. In other words, an operating cost ideally, or alternatively "grant interest".
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| The basic aim, and purpose of such FBs is to create funds for projects which would be difficult if not "impossible" to finance by conventional means as indicated earlier on. Their remit though is largely targetted at investing in full, or in part in large, or small-scale concerns to do with energy alternatives, enviromnetal projects as well as social/ethical "entrepreneurship".The decision making process on all this must be largely, if not wholly free from any undue influence from governments, and corporations.It must notably be transparent, holistic and "objective" as possible with all options for consideration for some specific project, or projects that could be vital for the social, and environmental "health" of the planet. In the main this would require bona fide experts in their respective fields. It could involve partnerships with governments, NGOs, and existing green businesses.
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| Ofcourse, when ready, investors using their own earned money could put it in some project in order to gain a return. Indeed, their assets could be financially protected by the FB should the economy of any country face any serious problems, and hence, avoid capital flight.
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| A startling feature of FBs is that in theory at least it could electronically create infinite sums of capital as they are not legally constrained, or backed up by incomplete, or full reserves held unlike Credit Creation. However, quite unlike mainstream commercial banks, their financial dealings are continually tracked electronically to prevent fraud by the Central Bank, or by some other credible body which could ''impose instant fines electronically as part of a legally binding contract.''
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| Anyway, the amount of money which FBs can create is dependent on the costing of relevant resources, or products from suppliers in a legally binding contract. This is known as Resource Capacity Requirements, or RCRs. Essentially, it means that the amount of goods needed to be manufactured for some project would need to be planned in advance. Ideally, if possible, checks on the relevant suppliers in the supply chain as to whether they have capacity to produce such resources could be undertaken. Capacity though could be increased if necessary by the FB. Indeed, it would be possible to have the relevant products (and services) on order to be electronically monitored whenever money is transmitted. In effect, we could have a "protected" economy running alongside the present Free Market system.
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| With the aid of experts it is hoped that Facilitation Banks, and indeed, Facilitation Finance in the context of TFE will become a serious proposition. This innovative financial model would certainly be more advanced than anything created by such controversial global institutions as the World Bank, and the International Monetary Fund.''Indeed, FBs would not lead to competition with "normal" mainstream banks as they could possibly have equal shares in the FBs, or some other arrangement(s).'' Understandably, some NGOs may regard them with suspicion but hopefully this will be dispelled if everything goes to plan "successfully".
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| Critics will probably point out that elected governments alone should have the power to create Facilitation Finance rather than mainly private companies. The reason for this approach is that it is hard to see that a country notably like the US which is still a world economic power (at the time of writing) would frown on the idea of greater government interventionism in the so-called Free Market Economy. Thus, something like FBs may be more acceptable, and their influence towards a more environmentally, and ethically centred business developments would be more agreeable. Rather than more, and more regulation (which ofcourse could be difficult to pass into law by many countries notably America) they would be able to "nudge" certain commercial enterprises as never before to reform themselves using financial incentives (ie. commercial grants, and interest free loans). Already, quite a number of businesses to a limited degree try to appear green to their customers as they see this as a good selling point. Some business leaders would claim that using normal market strategies rather than resorting to "subsidy" like incentives should be possible. However, TFE takes a different stance.
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| '''Democratic Governments, And Taxation.'''
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| In TFE, taxation could be phased out overtime. In other words, earned money from the people would be gradually reduced in terms of tax liability as new debt-free money is phased in. In other words, Facilitation Finance by democratic governments.This would not lead to serious inflation especially when a system of electronic monitoring of transactions is undertaken. This is explained a little later. Moreover, as with FBs ofcourse the Resource Capacity Requirments, or RCRs are used in debt-free money creation. This could be carried out by a body independent of the Treasury, and would be electronically monitored to avoid any chance of serious deficit spending.
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| At the present time,democratic governments could arguably create money electronically directly. This could come about with the relevant legal arrangements. At present though If there are shortfalls in tax revenues governments can issue bonds. These are IOUs mainly sold to the rich, and super rich companies, and corporations in which money is lent to governments. When paid back the bonds also carry interest which act as profit for lenders in the private sector. In other words, a good example of debt-based economics.
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| In Quantitative Easing governments again create bonds, and these are bought up by the Central Bank. Strictly speaking, the latter is able (unlike the former) to create new money directly, and electronically. Moreover, QE is really only intended to produce more money into the economy especially when there is little in circulation. But it seems a little absurd that publicly elect governments cannot directly create new money electronically.
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| Ofcourse, bond trading is a huge global market.With TFE it could be gradually phased out. Investors could receive compensation, or alternatively other kinds of financial instruments, or investments could be found. These could be far more lucrative. In other words, vested interests would not find TFE a threat thus making global change quicker, and easier to achieve.
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| Lastly, the so-called sovereign wealth funds of governments investing in the markets to raise money could continue if desired. Strictly speaking, they would not be necessary as the electronic creation of new money could be created.
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| '''Electronic Profile Of The Economy In "Real-Time"/ Advanced Stage TFE.'''
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| Most products, and services in the business world have codes for ease of accounting. Small shops, and supermarkets often, or not have barcodes which are used at checkouts to electronically account for sales transactions of customers. This is known as the Electronic Point of Sales, or EPOS. This notably gives retailers an accurate understanding of the demand of certain barcoded products along with their identifications. Such a method known as Electronic Transaction Monitoring, or ETM could be used to create an electronic profile of the entire economy in "real-time". Under new laws retailers would not only account for their sales but would also at the sametime transmit their information to a public, or semi-public authority (which could be a part of the banking system). With modifications in barcodes, and business codes in general such transaction data (largely identified but not always..plus some exemptions which could also include some form of commercial confidentiality) would be able to build up a highly accurate electronic GDP of the economy on a daily basis (ie.24/7). But why is this neccessary, and important? The answer is three-fold.
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| i) To electronically monitor, and track, and compare price changes of specific groupings of products, and services. If serious rises in prices occur they could be targetted by direct electronic controls rather than always using indirect controls of taxation, and interest on loans which would be phased out over time. This process would involve advanced computer programming, and the possible use of supercomputers by banks connected with the inflation authority. A more decentralised version of this could also exist.
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| ii) To create a highly accurate electronic "audit" of resources used to make up products, or goods. This will become increasingly vital as scarcity increases. Such data would be good for democratic government planners, and more importantly for businesses planers.
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| iii) To bring about a greater understanding of the mechanics of the economy itself. This may be very useful for future economists. With computer simulations, and projections garnered directly in real-time from ETM of the real economy itself it would be likely to possibly forcast the inflation risks involved in the creation of new debt-free money for certain projects. It would also give us direct data of the capacity of various "small" companies, and corporations which would be essential for FBs,and democratic governments. This in turn would allow for a highly accurate basis on which new non-repayable money could be created electronically (ie. the RCR). Indeed, the origins of potential business cycles of boom, and bust could also be tracked, and resolved. This is a very important point.
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| However, all this cannot fully rule out uncertainty, and the irrational behaviour of the markets. But everthing could still work well in spite of this as TFE is a robust system.
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| It is clear that existing Economic Indicators would be largely, if not wholly superseded by the new "electronic economy" proposed. This is revolutionary.
| | e) Unlike MMT TFE can adjust the value of money if necessary and instantaneously when products and services are bought in real-time at the point of sale (POS). This of course is when the inflation status is checked by the Inflation Authority. Thus, the purchasing power of money is largely or wholly maintained. This was explained in brief early on using two examples. |
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| | f) In MMT the government is seen as the key issuer of currency as something which is non- repayable. However, special private banks could be had in which such grants or (non-governmental) “subsides” could be created digitally. |
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| | === Key References === |
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| Lastly in this section, it is important to understand that ideally only those businesses which make serious, and genuine efforts to be environmentally friendly, and ethical could ultimately receive a Zero Tax, and Zero Interest Status. There would be no real excuse not to do this because money from FBs, and/or democrative governments would always be there.On the other hand, those enterprises which continue to use environmentally unsustainable technologies, and markets for the products, and services would continue to pay tax, and interest. But the door would always be open for them to radically change. Ofcourse, Facilitation Finance would ultimately be phased in to replace taxation, and interest per se.
| | [1] Carney, Mark. (2021). Value (s), Building a Better World for All. William Collins. |
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| '''Direct Electronic Controls If Necessary.'''
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| | [2] Clegg, Brian. (2021). Quantum Computing; The Transformative Technology of the Qubit Revolution. Icon |
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| | [3] Cockshott, W. Paul., & Cottrell, Allin. (1993). Towards a New Socialism. Spokesman Books. |
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| | [4] Gates, William Henry. (2021). How to avoid a Climate Disaster; The Solutions we have and the Breakthroughs. Allen Lane. |
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| It must be made very clear that direct electronic controls, or specific interventions in the economy are used only if necessary. With the continous electronic monitoring of the Free Market Prices of the transaction of goods, and services the data which results is transmitted to the inflation authority where supercomputers are programmed to check any inflationary problems, and related matters. Ofcourse, it must be said quite clearly that the correct programming is absolutely vital, and this could be based with likely modifications on existing formulas, and equations used by economists, and then be adapted into a computer program.
| | [5] Haldane, Andy. (2018, April 30). Mapping the economy in real time is almost within our grasp. Financial Times.https://www.ft.com/content/58190dc2- 4c79-11e8-97e4-13afc 22 d86d4 |
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| Anyhow, there are a number of things which the electronic controls (open to further development) could do whenever needed:-
| | [6] Heydorn, Oliver. M. (2014). Social Credit Economics. Canada: CreateSpace Independent Publishing Platform. |
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| | [7] Kansas, Salina. (2021, October23). The Real-Time Revolution; How the pandemic reshaped the dismal science. The Economist.https:// www.economist.com/briefing/2021/10/23/enter-third-wave-economics |
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| | [8] Kelton, Stephanie. (2020). The Deficit Myth: Modern Monetary Theory and how to build a Better Economy. John Murray. |
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| i) '''Automatic Inflation Deduction.'''
| | [9] McDermott, John. (2004).Economics in Real Time, a Theoretical Reconstruction. The University of Michigan Press. |
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| When a price of a product being bought at a checkout is found to be above the inflation rate new money could be used to instantly adjust it to the "right" Free Market Price. The customer is alerted to this by the cashier. The Automatic Inflation Deduction is like a tax but the money taken at the point of sale is recreated electronically in the account of the customer, and the retail company. In other words, it is "temporarily" taken out of general circulation where the inflationary pressures are being "felt." Ofcourse, it could deduct money in real terms but this is avoided unless it is absolutely vital. Automatic Inflation Deduction is arguably the most important "instrument" in TFE.
| | [10] Sharda, Sahaj. (2018). The Extinction of the Price Tag; How dynamic pricing can save you. New Degree Press. |
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| ii) '''Instant Electronic Price Subsidization.'''
| | Important. Many people reading the above may realize that the concept like a “Blockchain” would be used in Transfinancial Economics to monitor transactions in real time…. it would not though use cryptocurrencies. |
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| This is when a price of a product maybe below the inflation rate, and an instant subsidy, or "adjustment" is created electronically if necessary. At the point of purchase, and instantly checked by the inflation authority, this new money is transmitted to the relevant checkout, or cashier.
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| iv) '''Electronic Price Capping.'''
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| | == Some key Points to understand in brief == |
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| Here, a maximun price may be set by a government, or even by an FB in certain circumstances. If the price of production starts to exceed the maximun price, the producers would recieve instant financial help, or compensation where necessary. Ofcourse, electronic price capping should be avoided if possible.
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| '''A Form of Limited Electronic Transaction Monitoring'''
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| | I. One possible problem with TFE is ofcourse shortages due notably in connection with food security. This is not mentioned in the above paper in detail. This could be alleviated to a large extent with forward thinking and credible planning using special monitored non-repayable money. However, as Climate Change worsen governments will probably be forced to introduce manual price controls but such a measure though would largely be resisted by mainstream economics. Ofcourse, conspiracy theorists would come out of the wood work if and when this happens. Another issue is that highly flexible digital price controls unlike their manual counterparts would be far more efficient (though |
| | they could be better termed as inflation controls).But the latter could act as a stopgap for the former if absolutely necessary. |
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| As al form of limited ETM could be introduced on a "local" scale. However, a national version could be "quickly" set up without the need to know the ID details of products, and services via special codes, and bar codes. With the right legal banking arrangements it maybe possible to develop programmes notably for debit, and credit cards (or some other kind of electronic transfer) to be subjected to an inflation "tax" but one in which the deducted amounts could be taken off, and then notably re-created electronically (ie.Automatic Inflation Deduction).But such an approach could ofcourse use conventional Economic Indicators (eg.the Consumer Price Index, or the Retail Price Index) but would not be as accurate as full ETM as understood in the previous section of this evolving presentation.
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| '''The Question Of Economic Growth.'''
| | II. Apart from the Central Bank creating new green non-payable money which ofcourse is already happening to some extent new green repayable money can also be created. Special private banks or indeed, existing ones could also be used in part and would have an operating fee as profit instead of charging interest. The source of such funding would come from the Central Bank or some other kind of legal entity.In other words, the private sector could profit greatly via TFE. |
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| As many realize the planet has finite resources. Thus,continous exponential growth cannot go on indefinitely. In TFE there is a long period of rapid economic growth but it is heavily influenced notably by the power of FBs, and Facilitation Financing making the present capitalist system environmentally sustainable, more ethical, and energy efficient as never before in human history.
| | II. In the normal state of affairs green goods and services should as time goes by become cheaper and hence more attractive as demand naturally increases from the public. However, this process is already happening somewhat "slowly" but there are marketing stratagies which could artificially alter this situation, and this needs to be developed to create green competition using small or large subsidies. Companies that could loose out at first would be compensated using new capital created ex nihilo. The details of exactly how green artificial "competition" works is still being developed in detail at the time of writing.Moreover, shortages of certain products may occur and there may be a degree market distortion. This could be dealt with to a large extent via "instataneous"compensation. |
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| There are those who believe in no-growth economics, or steady-state economics. Such notions are fine as far as they go but their approach towards genuine change is alot slower in a complicated world. Moreover, how finite is our planet? This is arguably at present an "impossible" question to fully answer. But, it has also been pointed out that most of the resources of our planet lie under the sea. To actually "mine them" is prohibitively expensive but there appear to be small initial attempts to do so. With Facilitation Finance it would be possible. Apart from this there are all sorts of ways to deal with the resource question. They could include the following:-
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| i) The development of safe nanotechnology which could create new resources out of thin air via the manipulation of atoms.
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| ii) Space exploration with the aid of Facilitation Finance could find resources from other planets. These could be brought to our terrestrial world.
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| iii) Again, with Facilitation Finance it would be possible to create colonies on other planets, and hopefully, use their resources responsibly.
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| iv) Inventions could be developed to create more out of less, and less. Vertical Farming is perhaps a good example as it helps to increase land space for agriculture.
| | IV.The originator of TFE is very much aware that Transfinancial Economics would increase emissions. This is unfortunate but hopefully with further funding the way or ways to deal with this problem would be better funded as never before. There are ofcourse a number of so-called carbon capture programmes in the world, but much more like this needs to be done. Anyway, all this means is that if we have Rapid Green Growth or RGG many people would still die during the Climate Change Crisis. This is tragically unavoidable. But if this were slowly undertaken (as is the case now) it is more probable that the death toll would be much higher in the long run. |
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| Ideally though, people (especially the young) must become more, and more educated in that we must live simpler, less materialistic lives. This does not mean going back to the "stone age" but instead to an advanced technological world in which higher values, or ideals should take their place rather than unnecessary over-consumption.
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| | V. It is important to understand that when TFE becomes a reality there is no direct or indirect of taxation. The reason is simple. Since money can retain its value in real time it cannot be inflated to a serious degree, and cause devaluation of money. This means ofcourse that more money can be transmitted into the economy safely. All this has notable implications for charities, and NG0s, or non-governmental organisations as it would mean that raising money from earned sources would no longer be absolutely necessary. This is revolutionary. The only limits ofcourse for this are limited human and natural resources at any point in time. |
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| '''Some Other Key Benefits Of Transfinancial Economics.'''
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| | VI. Originally, the above entry included a lengthy piece on TFE but this is not included here, though it may re-appear. It maybe found elsewhere probably on The Economics Realms blogspot. |
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| Apart from the above section there are many other benefits with TFE. They would include the following list.
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| a) '''Poverty.'''
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| With TFE, NGOs concerned with this issue would become increasingly empowered financially by Facilitation Finance which could be had directly from a FB, or possibly a government agency. It could also come from one, or more independent funding body (eg. a foundation, or trust).
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| Moreover, it could modify microfinance in the developing world to include a UBI, or Universal Basic Income, or subsidy of sorts without having to borrow money all the time (except for the development of some form of self-employment/business). It would be electronically created by FBs, or by governments, or by both of them in partnership. So-called "grant interest" could accrue too as explained early on.
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| b) '''Health Care.'''
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| Irrespective of whether health care is largely in private hands, or not there would be a stage at which Factilitation Financing could enhance the existing system in which everyone in spite of their economic status has access to high quality medical intervention.This process could happen in both the developed world, and the developing world.
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| c) '''Food Security.'''
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| Here, innovative but safe production of more food could be funded in full, or in part by Facilitation Finance. Moreover,like their developed world couterparts developing world farmers could receive subsidies but via new non-repayable money created electronically.
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| d) '''Population.'''
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| NGOs with ideas, and projects concerned with this matter could be funded in full, or in part by Facilitation Finance.
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| e) '''Industrial Emissions.'''
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| One way, other than conventional methods to try, and reduce industrial emissions is to have governments use Facilitation Finance (rather than earned money from taxes) as a way of compensating for lost profits in return for companies to reduce their emissions from entering the atmosphere.
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| It should be said that TFE is not the panacea of all the problems of the world. But it can certainly help many of them if, and when necessary.
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| '''The So-Called Surplus Profit Option.'''
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| This is a less ethical, and socially acceptable approach but could possibly be one of the ways forward. Essentially, via Facilitation Finance it would be possible to legally "bribe" certain corporations in the coal,oil, and gas industries to become totally involved in the creation of genuine environmentally sustainable energy industries. The resulting profits in the latter case would be subsidised by new unearned money to a certain level in a way that makes them more profitable than the environmentally unsustainable industries. The latter could then be phased out.
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| The downside of this is that it may make certain corporations far more richer than before. But the lobbying power of the coal, oil, and gas sector have become extremely influential over governments in the US, and elsewhere. SPO could be a serious approach vital for people, and the planet. This may sound somewhat "mad", and counterintuitive but it should be considered all the same. It should be added that "everything" should be done to ensure climate change can be "tamed". This is arguably the most important problem facing humanity.
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| '''Two "Better" Alternatives To SPO.'''
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| i) Another approach is to simply to fund projects such as Carbon, Capture, and Storage. In other words, coal, oil, and gas industries could continue "Business As Usual" but would receive Facilitation Finance in full, or in part for them to introduce new technologies that make their production environmentally friendly.
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| ii) Arguably, one approach is for a certain country, or countries (outside the US)could have the power to electronically create new money to attempt hostile takeovers of the huge gas,coal, and oil companies. This could though cause a huge legal furore in the political, and business world..
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| There may be other ideas which could be introduced in the light of TFE, and Facilitation Finance.
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| '''Automation, And The New World.'''
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| During the transition from a debt based economic system to a non-debt one in which taxation, and interest are phased out many momentous socio-economic, and political changes would probably occur. One of them is the introduction of automation on a huge scale.This would lead to growing unemployment. However,something like an UBI, or Universal Basic Income could be introduced irrespective of whether one is employed, or not.
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| In the light of the above, other kinds of "leisure-like" forms of "work", or employment could come into being.Alternatively, for some, a green business could be created but with a degree of automation included. Interestingly, this has great implications for NGOs, or non-government organizations. They could expand, and be able to bring aboard new recruits as money would become easier to find, and fundraising itself would also be ultimately phased out altogether.Hence, progress of socio-economic, and political issues (eg. Fair Trade, Human Rights,Poverty Reduction,Globalization, et al) will gain greater momentum, influence, and power as never before in human history.
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| Certain better financed NGOs would find it easier to challenge elitist plutocratic power structures if they feel that their activities to a certain extent are unethical in some manner, or other (eg. some banks, and corporations). Though TFE may make the wealthy richer with green/ethical type investments with the aid of FBs it could ironically lead to their own demise when automation begins to take over work activities. It is then that money itself could become ultimately unnecessary.
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| With the growing financial empowerment of NGOs for a new, and hopefully a better, and fairer world the following values should be included notably.......
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| i) The continuance of open democracy, and respect for universal human rights.
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| ii) Growing altruism, and more humanitarian action in society should act as the key incentive rather than money. This is very important. Indeed, so-called Happiness Economics seems to indicate that money is not everything. As long as people have enough they are found to be reasonably happy.
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| iii) Evolution towards direct democracy in which a Universal Debating Project, or "forum" could be credibly created on the internet on a p2p Open Source basis to show "all-known" arguments for, and against social, economic, and political issues (without verbal padding). In other words, an objective, and holistic approach to information. This could be updated continually. Something called Debatepedia is a good example of what could be done.
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| iv) The need to move towards a society in which cooperation rather than competition should be the incentive to drive the world forwards. Moreover, there should be a greater emphasis for "smaller" human-scale communities which could be highly self-sufficient.
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| v) As already indicated, NGOs notably concerned with inequality would become increasingly empowered by grants to improve the lot of the poor.
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| It is ultimately envisaged that something like an advanced technological world will emerge. The Venus Project inspired by Jacque Fresco, a noted populariser of Technocracy is an example of what could be done in the future.
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| '''Campaign Activism For Transfinancial Economics.'''
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| In order to bring about the serious possibility of change from our present debt based economy of taxation, and interest to one which is non-debt based, a campaign would be necessary. Unfortunately, a grassroots organization(s) for the present time to challenge banks, and their kind is unlikely to work.... though we may be wrong.
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| To promote this campaign it is suggested here that a professional website would be set up to spread the word of Transfinancial Economics as a serious, and credible proposal if the world is to successfully survive the global problems of the future. It would be sent to people, and organizations that have power, and influence such as government policy makers,academics,financial companies, et cetera. This is probably the way forward.
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| The TFE website itself would include the following features.
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| A news update about the campaign progress.
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| Commissioned papers (initially) by willing economists possibly using econometric models to show the efficacy of TFE in technical terms, including detailed studies on various facets of the subject.
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| An online Journal of Transfinancial Economics.
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| A powerpoint presentation of TFE for downloading.
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| Possible field trials of the electronic technologies involved in TFE. This could be in part, or fully funded by governments, and/or by Corporations...
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| The concept of TFE would probably have to go before the US Government,the European Parliament, the UK Parliament, and other democratic governments. Ideally, all countries should work in consort to introduce something like TFE.
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| -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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| '''Some Lints Of Possible Interest.'''
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| The following links maybe of interest. Also, TFE can work for, or against the rich.
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| http://blog.p2pfoundation.net/introduction-to-transfinancial-economics-part-one-the-core-concepts/2011/07/11
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| http://www.p2pfoundation.net/Introduction_to_Transfinancial_Economics
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| TFE is notably similiar to Social Credit. The following link maybe of interest, and a French version also exists.
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| http://www.michaeljournal.org/plenty42.htm
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| An introduction to MMT, or Modern Monetary Theory which is also similiar to TFE.
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| http://ralphanomics.blogspot.com/2011/02/introduction-to-modern-monetary-theory.html
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| TFE is probably the most advanced form of monetary reform. At present though, interest has been growing on the implications of the seeming fact that private unelected banks create new repayable money out of thin air as loans with interest. The amount of capital created is based on a fraction of existing reserves held. This is aptly termed fractional reserve banking....However, it appears that such reserves maybe ignored, and money maybe created irrespective of them...!
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| http://www.positivemoney.org.uk/
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| The following link may also be of interest.
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| http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2009/02/steve-keen-roving-cavaliers-of-credit.html
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| | VII. Furthermore, over the years TFE has been circulated around on the internet, and has attracted a number of influential people including the noted rebell economist Steve Keen (and some of his followers), Ellen Brown, Stephen Zarlenga, Baron Prem Sikka, Richard Murphy, Hazel Henderson (who was especially keen on TFE), and even the present Lord Nathan Rothschild and his family seem to be interested in the new economic paradigm to some extent. There are also some indications that certain commercial entities (ie potential private investors) may be taking some interest in TFE and ofcourse, they could help attract relevant funding for the emergence of TFE into the world. |
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| --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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| PS A paper on TFE was actually accepted by a peer reviewed journal. However, due to a dispute with the editor/publisher I withdrew it from publication, and at the time of writing a new version has been sent elsewhere.
| | VIII. Another aspect of this subject is that notably big oil and gas companies could possibly be legally "bribed" and bought up and phased out to make way for an economy run by clean sustainable energy. Admitedly, this may not be the most ethical way of doing things but humanity must come first rather than powerful vested interests. |
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| Robert Searle is the originator of this "work in progress" project. His email address is dharao4@yahoo.co.uk, or robertsearle@live.co.uk. Admitedly, my bio below is unconventional by most peoples standards but it is hoped it will not detract from any interest in the above project.
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| | Finally, it should be said in this brief introduction the originator (ie. Robert Searle) of the TFE System hopes to write a few more papers on some aspect(s) of this subject. At the same time he hopes to fully research and complete a book probably to be entitled Towards Economic Revolution, subtitled Global Financial Reform and the Survival of the Human Race. This may take two years or so and would require help from a whole array of experts including those in economics, business, politics, law, computers, et al. |
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| http://www.p2pfoundation.net/Robert_Searle
| | [[Category:Economics]] |
The following is a brief paper which also appears in a respected academic book edited by Dr Debesh Bhowmik. It is entitled An Approach Towards Central Bank Digital Currency published by Kunal Books, New Delhi, 2022. In Chapter4 the material below is presented. Also, it should be mentioned that a paper published in 2016 entitled Orthodox Monetary Theory: A Critique From Post-Keynesianism and Transfinancial Economics by Dante A. Urbina appears in a book called International Monetary System. Past, Present, and Future Regal Publishing, India. RS
FUTURISTIC ECONOMICS FOR THE 21ST CENTURY?
by Robert Searle
Abstract
The following is in brief concerned with the very basics of an emerging paradigm known as Transfinancial Economics or TFE. It can be seen as a form of Keynesian Economics. Basic to it is the huge relevance of the use of computers and information technology in finance. This would act as a means of notably influencing the economy towards a more ethical, and greener environmentally friendly economy as never before. Many will regard TFE as being similar to Modern Monetary Theory or MMT which has gained a large amount of publicity in recent years. However, the latter is regarded as being a precursor and possible stopgap to TFE which is far more advanced. At the time of writing what follows is still “work in progress”. Of course, it raises many questions which may be answered in the near future such as TFE’s connection with exchange rates and of course the possible emergence of Central Bank Digital Currencies, or CBDCs.
Keywords: Transfinancial Economics, Modern Monetary Theory, Inflation Taxation, Digital Price Controls, Climate Change
JEL Classification Codes: E42,F33,F65,G00,O3,Q54
1. Nationwide Electronic/Digital Price Controls
Essentially, Transfinancial Economics or TFE believes notably that new unearned repayable and non-repayable money can be digitally created ex nihilo and phased into the economy safely without leading to uncontrolled levels of inflation or indeed hyperinflation. This is simply done with the aid of highly flexible electronic digital price controls used for nearly every kind of financial transaction in real time. Thus, if there is a concern about some rise in the prices of certain goods and services these could be digitally capped temporarily. This would be an instantaneous process and could occur automatically in any part of the economy. This could be undertaken with the help of supercomputers or more likely by quantum computers (Clegg, 2021).
Of course, such digital price controls are not the ideal way of doing things but they are better than nothing. Some form of compensation could be created for retailers if desired. However, it must be stressed here that with the right algorithms the market price is allowed to change naturally as much as possible. Whether we like it or not most of the money exists as digital data in a bank. It is used in any number of transaction but “real” money like cash and coin can still be used (unmonitored or possibly monitored in some way) but it would make up only a tiny fraction of the overall economy, and hence, would have near zero significance in our understanding of the whole economy. This is an important but basic point to understand.
Also, in connection notably with vital climate change projects a legally binding agreement should ideally be undertaken to use certain algorithms to track funding. They could detect and instantly ” freeze” in real-time any money that may be involved in fraud.
2. Big Data and Real-Time Economics/The Uncloaking of the “Invisible Hand”.
As one might well realize it would be possible to understand the entire economy in real-time (or near real-time). This colossal accounting data would be created 24/7 with virtually every transaction notably using barcodes, or something similar. The central Inflation Authority would be programmed to instantly check the inflation status of each product or service and if at all necessary instant temporary price capping may occur. Hence, a huge picture of the economy would be possible and could prove invaluable for future economists. Also, such incoming real-time economic indicators would be totally up to date and as such would have no long-time lags unlike conventional economic data.
In spite of this though such information cannot fully rule out uncertainty in the economy. Yet, the data emerging instantaneously should at least give us a far better idea of how it is “working” and this could be important for decision-making. AI or Artificial Intelligence could also play a vital role in all this. Apart from identified transaction data there are what are referred to as Faster Indicators. These use various types of economic activity to be factored in to give us an even wider understanding of the economy in real time (Salina, 2020; Haldane, 2018).
It must be made clear that what we have been saying so far is a capitalist economy. TFE though can also be adapted into a socialist or communist type of economy because it can notably make central planning a lot easier and more likely to succeed unlike conventional economics. Indeed, Economic Cybernetics is an example of this kind of approach, and it is also possible in some future time to have an economy which is “completely” automated and where money is no longer necessary (Cockshott & Cottrell, 1993).
The concepts of TFE are like those proposed by Clifford Douglas and his Social Credit Movement but they have the added dimension of using Big Data and instant digital price capping which did not exist in his time. If he were around today, he would have been impressed by the use of computers, smart phones, plastic cards, et al in developing a futuristic economy. Modern Monetary Theory or MMT is to some extent similar. It should be added too that the term “Social Credit” has nothing to do with the dystopian system of the same name in China (Heydorn, 2014).
Finally in this section of this brief paper it should be said that in time the financial industry will hopefully be powered more and more by sustainable (non-fossil fuel) electricity, and it should be said too that it is possible
to have a high degree of commercial confidentiality in connection with the digital transaction data instantaneously going to the Inflation Authority 24/7 for specific businesses of one kind, or another.
3. Maintaining the Value of Money in Real-Time.
TFE would be able to maintain the value of money in real-time at the point of sale (POS). For example, person T buys product A in a shop and its retail price is instantly checked for its inflation status. It is found to be above the inflation rate by 50p and the customer though has already spent this amount but is compensated for it digitally by having it recreated into his or her account. This is called Above Inflation Adjustment. In another instance, person T buys product C which is 30p below the inflation rate and it is the retailer who gets the extra 30p by a digital recreation of it in her or her account. This is called Below Inflation Adjustment. (McDermott,2004).
4. Dynamic Pricing in Real-Time
Fintech is short for Financial Technology. It is a critical part of the TFE paradigm without which it cannot exist. A good example of such financial technology which exists now is Dynamic Pricing. Essentially, it can automatically deal with variable pricing due to changes in supply and demand. It has been successfully utilised in areas such as transportation, hospitality, professional sports, retail, and the like. Even Amazon uses it along with many other companies (Sharda, 2018). All this adds greater credibility to the idea of developing a genuine real-time economy on a national and ultimately international scale. Of course, it has to be realized and remembered that real-time data is used by financial markets around the world in which investors can keep an eye on the value of their shares, or securities. Traders can use such information to make “bets” on the rise and fall of prices of the various companies such as Apple, Google, Unilever, and many other lesser-known ones.
5. TFE and the Climate Change Emergency
At present the greatest challenge facing humanity is the climate change emergency. Tragically, it seems highly likely that it will become irreversible (if it is not already). As such governments, Bigtech companies, and smaller businesses must try if possible to make serious efforts to create credible resilient adaption and mitigation projects on a scale never before known in human history. All this ultimately costs money. Hence, TFE. With this emerging paradigm it would be possible to create new money to fund credible and “feasible” green projects. Of course, investors could be invited to invest venture capital into such investments which could prove lucrative. Such projects may seem in some cases more like “science fiction” but now is the time to think outside the box otherwise we could see the global demise of the human race. It is simple as that. Climate change emergency is not just a physical challenge it is also a spiritual one of the highest order.
Here are a few examples of potential green projects which need to be undertaken (though some of them are in the making or have already been done but not on a scale ultimately necessary for human survival) and they include more solar and wind and solar power facilities; more factory plants and mechanical trees to suck carbon emissions out of the atmosphere; more electric cars; more advances in Nanotechnology in which atomic structures could create new materials in a world of limited resources; possible underground cities and even underground agriculture may be a required to some extent; natural solutions; sun dimming which may be necessary but a controversial move; more flood defences; more recycling centres and so on. At the same time with all this going on the likes of entrepreneurs such as Bezos and Musk can “wisely” continue with the possible colonisation of the moon and even mars (Gates, 2002; Carney, 2021).
6. The Basic Differences between Transfinancial Economics and Modern Monetary Theory
Modern Monetary Theory is at the time of writing been in the public spotlight for several years and has attracted much public attention. It is similar to Transfinancial Economics or TFE. MMT claims that the government is the sole issuer of the national currency and can fund public expenditure and only raises taxation, if necessary, as a means of controlling inflation at some future date. In this respect, TFE is in agreement. Infact, something like MMT already exists. It is called Deficit Spending. This is when governments need more money and can borrow it and (or) create new amounts of it (Kelton, 2020). This of course works but only to a limited extent. Now, the key differences are:
a) TFE uses digital price controls to monitor and if necessary, cap the market price. These would cover the entire economy and not just tiny sections of it. MMT though would use taxation to control inflation instead but may ultimately use price controls.
b) Unlike MMT TFE has a very advanced understanding of the economy via Big Data in real-time whilst the former would probably largely rely on old outdated understanding of economics.
c) As MMT continues to create new money into the economy a point may be reached that too much money will circulate and could lead to not just gradual rises in inflation but to a sudden mass catastrophic state of hyperinflation. With TFE such problems are dealt with directly by digital controls that would instantaneously control the situation at a touch of a button or indeed happen automatically.
d) Since TFE would have a far more accurate comprehension of the economy in real-time it can assess the potential inflation tax liability (possibly as an online sales tax) months or years ahead. On the other hand, MMT could find itself in a situation in which the overall inflation tax liability would be too heavy, and could even cause social unrest. Incidentally, it should be added that a tax rebate is possible in which the inflation taxation paid could be digitally recreated in full, or in part at a future date.
e) Unlike MMT TFE can adjust the value of money if necessary and instantaneously when products and services are bought in real-time at the point of sale (POS). This of course is when the inflation status is checked by the Inflation Authority. Thus, the purchasing power of money is largely or wholly maintained. This was explained in brief early on using two examples.
f) In MMT the government is seen as the key issuer of currency as something which is non- repayable. However, special private banks could be had in which such grants or (non-governmental) “subsides” could be created digitally.
Key References
[1] Carney, Mark. (2021). Value (s), Building a Better World for All. William Collins.
[2] Clegg, Brian. (2021). Quantum Computing; The Transformative Technology of the Qubit Revolution. Icon
[3] Cockshott, W. Paul., & Cottrell, Allin. (1993). Towards a New Socialism. Spokesman Books.
[4] Gates, William Henry. (2021). How to avoid a Climate Disaster; The Solutions we have and the Breakthroughs. Allen Lane.
[5] Haldane, Andy. (2018, April 30). Mapping the economy in real time is almost within our grasp. Financial Times.https://www.ft.com/content/58190dc2- 4c79-11e8-97e4-13afc 22 d86d4
[6] Heydorn, Oliver. M. (2014). Social Credit Economics. Canada: CreateSpace Independent Publishing Platform.
[7] Kansas, Salina. (2021, October23). The Real-Time Revolution; How the pandemic reshaped the dismal science. The Economist.https:// www.economist.com/briefing/2021/10/23/enter-third-wave-economics
[8] Kelton, Stephanie. (2020). The Deficit Myth: Modern Monetary Theory and how to build a Better Economy. John Murray.
[9] McDermott, John. (2004).Economics in Real Time, a Theoretical Reconstruction. The University of Michigan Press.
[10] Sharda, Sahaj. (2018). The Extinction of the Price Tag; How dynamic pricing can save you. New Degree Press.
Important. Many people reading the above may realize that the concept like a “Blockchain” would be used in Transfinancial Economics to monitor transactions in real time…. it would not though use cryptocurrencies.
Some key Points to understand in brief
I. One possible problem with TFE is ofcourse shortages due notably in connection with food security. This is not mentioned in the above paper in detail. This could be alleviated to a large extent with forward thinking and credible planning using special monitored non-repayable money. However, as Climate Change worsen governments will probably be forced to introduce manual price controls but such a measure though would largely be resisted by mainstream economics. Ofcourse, conspiracy theorists would come out of the wood work if and when this happens. Another issue is that highly flexible digital price controls unlike their manual counterparts would be far more efficient (though
they could be better termed as inflation controls).But the latter could act as a stopgap for the former if absolutely necessary.
II. Apart from the Central Bank creating new green non-payable money which ofcourse is already happening to some extent new green repayable money can also be created. Special private banks or indeed, existing ones could also be used in part and would have an operating fee as profit instead of charging interest. The source of such funding would come from the Central Bank or some other kind of legal entity.In other words, the private sector could profit greatly via TFE.
II. In the normal state of affairs green goods and services should as time goes by become cheaper and hence more attractive as demand naturally increases from the public. However, this process is already happening somewhat "slowly" but there are marketing stratagies which could artificially alter this situation, and this needs to be developed to create green competition using small or large subsidies. Companies that could loose out at first would be compensated using new capital created ex nihilo. The details of exactly how green artificial "competition" works is still being developed in detail at the time of writing.Moreover, shortages of certain products may occur and there may be a degree market distortion. This could be dealt with to a large extent via "instataneous"compensation.
IV.The originator of TFE is very much aware that Transfinancial Economics would increase emissions. This is unfortunate but hopefully with further funding the way or ways to deal with this problem would be better funded as never before. There are ofcourse a number of so-called carbon capture programmes in the world, but much more like this needs to be done. Anyway, all this means is that if we have Rapid Green Growth or RGG many people would still die during the Climate Change Crisis. This is tragically unavoidable. But if this were slowly undertaken (as is the case now) it is more probable that the death toll would be much higher in the long run.
V. It is important to understand that when TFE becomes a reality there is no direct or indirect of taxation. The reason is simple. Since money can retain its value in real time it cannot be inflated to a serious degree, and cause devaluation of money. This means ofcourse that more money can be transmitted into the economy safely. All this has notable implications for charities, and NG0s, or non-governmental organisations as it would mean that raising money from earned sources would no longer be absolutely necessary. This is revolutionary. The only limits ofcourse for this are limited human and natural resources at any point in time.
VI. Originally, the above entry included a lengthy piece on TFE but this is not included here, though it may re-appear. It maybe found elsewhere probably on The Economics Realms blogspot.
VII. Furthermore, over the years TFE has been circulated around on the internet, and has attracted a number of influential people including the noted rebell economist Steve Keen (and some of his followers), Ellen Brown, Stephen Zarlenga, Baron Prem Sikka, Richard Murphy, Hazel Henderson (who was especially keen on TFE), and even the present Lord Nathan Rothschild and his family seem to be interested in the new economic paradigm to some extent. There are also some indications that certain commercial entities (ie potential private investors) may be taking some interest in TFE and ofcourse, they could help attract relevant funding for the emergence of TFE into the world.
VIII. Another aspect of this subject is that notably big oil and gas companies could possibly be legally "bribed" and bought up and phased out to make way for an economy run by clean sustainable energy. Admitedly, this may not be the most ethical way of doing things but humanity must come first rather than powerful vested interests.
Finally, it should be said in this brief introduction the originator (ie. Robert Searle) of the TFE System hopes to write a few more papers on some aspect(s) of this subject. At the same time he hopes to fully research and complete a book probably to be entitled Towards Economic Revolution, subtitled Global Financial Reform and the Survival of the Human Race. This may take two years or so and would require help from a whole array of experts including those in economics, business, politics, law, computers, et al.