[p2p-research] Is there any point to staving off industrial apocalypse
Paul D. Fernhout
pdfernhout at kurtz-fernhout.com
Sat Aug 22 22:38:08 CEST 2009
Ryan Lanham wrote:
The blind arguing with the blind, just assuming apocalypse is likely
technically, and wondering if it is good or bad.
The Guardian has an average daily circulation of about 360K copies per day.
"The Guardian had a certified average daily circulation of 358,844 copies in
January 2009 – a drop of 5.17% on January 2008, as compared to sales of
842,912 for The Daily Telegraph, 617,483 for The Times, and 215,504 for The
So, about one million copies every three days. I'm assuming it has about one
hundred sides of paper each about a meter square (probably less, but I'm
working with round numbers). So, the Guardian prints about one hundred
million square meters of content every three days. Or, if this was done
using Nanosolar or First Solar at 10% efficiency through their printing
technology, the Guardian would be producing about 100 watts per sq meter
times 100 million sq meters, 10 gigawatts worth of solar panels every three
days. Now, the world uses about sixteen terawatts of power for all purposes.
And solar panels only work on average about one sixth capacity due to
climate and clouds, so we need about 100 terawatts of panels to produce all
power from solar.
So, in about 30,000 days, or one hundred years, the Guardian by *itself*
would have produced enough solar panels to power the entire planet. But
instead they choose to print articles about how we are doomed. :-)
And if the Times, the Daily Telegraph, and the Independent were to help out,
with about 5X the circulation of the the Guardian, this would be cut down to
saving the planet in about fifteen years, just from the presses of four big
Look, I linked to a solar plan that would power the USA from renewables for
only US$420 billion in costs spread over forty years assuming current
technologies. That is less that half of one years National Security budget
in the USA. These problems are all solvable technically and economically.
But how can I solve the ironic problem of a small newspaper that could print
enough solar panels instead of paper to power the world in 100 years to see
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